The South Caucasus must be ready to take potential business opportunities presented by the conflict in Iran. That’s the opinion of Rusif Huseynov, from the Topchubashov Center think tank, who suggested that investors spooked by instability in the Middle East may shift their focus to the region.
Speaking on AnewZ Day Break programme on Tuesday (3rd March), Huseynov, Director of the Baku-based thinktank, said, “Our geopolitical significance has been elevated, especially in terms of connectivity, but for other reasons as well. Even if the conflict around Iran is coming to an end tomorrow, the instability in the Middle East will definitely last for some time.
“It will scare away investors, businesspeople, [and] other companies who want to deal with the region. And in this case, the South Caucasus may receive huge business opportunities… We must be prepared [to be] able to digest these opportunities.”
Since conflict broke out in Iran and the wider Middle East region at the weekend, flights have been rerouted above Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. Flight trackers show a bottleneck of planes above the South Caucasus, while Iranian airspace remains closed.
Meanwhile the tourism and business hubs of Dubai in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Doha in Qatar have been rocked by Iranian missile strikes that have caused airports to suspend flights or close entirely.
Huseynov warned, however, of the risk of the conflict spilling over to Armenia and Azerbaijan and the refugee crisis this could spark.
“The spillover effect of the conflict in and around Iran… would be the worst nightmare for all three South Caucasus countries. [...] It's about the possible exodus of Iranian refugees northward. It can be a humanitarian catastrophe.”
Huseynov added that leaders in Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia should make efforts to achieve de-esculation between Iran and the USA. But he admitted that such an outcome was “complicated” to bring about at present.
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Start your day informed with the AnewZ Morning Brief. Here are the top stories for the 4th of May, covering the latest developments you need to know.
A tanker reported being hit by unknown projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz, a maritime security organisation said on Monday, shortly after President Donald Trump said the U.S. would start helping free ships stranded in the Gulf by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
Ukraine is monitoring “unusual activity” along its border with Belarus, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in a video statement released on Saturday (2 May). He warned that Kyiv is ready to respond if necessary amid continued regional tensions linked to Russia’s war.
Hundreds of young people in South Korea have gathered in Seoul to take part in a city-backed “power nap contest”, aimed at drawing attention to the country’s chronic sleep deprivation.
Türkiye’s Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz is set to visit Armenia in early May to take part in the 8th European Political Community Summit, in what will be the highest-level Turkish visit to the country to date. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is reportedly expected to miss the forum.
China has moved to block U.S. sanctions on five of its oil refineries, in a fresh escalation of tensions over trade and energy policy.
U.S. President Donald Trump has said he will “soon be reviewing” a new 14-point proposal sent by Iran, casting doubt on the chances of a deal after Tehran called for security guarantees, an end to naval blockades and a halt to the war across the region, including in Lebanon.
Minval Politika has released a third set of footage it says shows former International Criminal Court prosecutor Luis Moreno Ocampo discussing the use of artificial intelligence in a project linked to Armenia and ‘Nagorno-Karabakh’.
Samarkand is hosting the 59th Annual Meeting of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), where global leaders have gathered to discuss regional growth, as the bank unveils a major $70 billion initiative to strengthen energy and digital connectivity across Asia and the Pacific.
Israel has approved a major defence deal to purchase new squadrons of advanced fighter jets from U.S. manufacturers Lockheed Martin and Boeing, the country’s defence ministry said on Sunday (3 May).
Nobel Peace Prize laureate Narges Mohammadi has been taken to hospital in Iran after what her family described as a “catastrophic deterioration” in her health, including a severe cardiac crisis.
President Donald Trump has said the United States could restart strikes on Iran “if they misbehave”, as he waits to review the full details of a new proposal from Tehran.
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