Flight prices surge as Gulf hub closures squeeze Asia–Europe routes amid Middle East conflict

Flight prices surge as Gulf hub closures squeeze Asia–Europe routes amid Middle East conflict
People look at a screen displaying flight information at the Indira Gandhi International airport, amid the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, in New Delhi, India, 3 March 2026.
Reuters

Air fares between Asia and Europe have jumped sharply after Gulf hubs, including Dubai, partially reopened following closures caused by the Middle East conflict between Israel-U.S. and Iran. Airlines are rerouting flights around restricted airspace, leaving economy seats scarce and prices soaring.

With the Hong Kong–London route, Cathay Pacific Airways listed no economy availability for more than a week, with the first one-way fare priced above HK$21,000 (around $2,700) before easing later in the month.

From Sydney, Qantas Airways had no economy seats to London via its usual Perth and Singapore services until mid-March, and limited alternatives were priced above A$3,000 (around $2,130) one way.

Similar patterns were apparent at Thai Airways International and Air China, where Europe-bound economy cabins were either fully booked or significantly more expensive.

Airlines rerouting around restricted airspace face longer flying times and higher fuel burn, adding to costs and sustaining upward pressure on fares.

Limited flights resume in UAE 

Emirates, flydubai and Etihad Airways said they would restart a small number of flights on Monday, primarily to repatriate passengers stranded.

Dubai airports confirmed that a limited resumption would begin later on Monday at Dubai International (DXB) and Al Maktoum International (DWC), while Etihad said some flights from Abu Dhabi would operate under strict safety approvals.

Airlines are prioritising repatriation, cargo, and repositioning flights, with services scheduled to destinations including London, Paris, Russia, Pakistan, and Somaliland.

Air France

Meanwhile, Air France has cancelled its flights to and from the Middle East, the Franco-Dutch group said in statements overnight, citing security risks from the ongoing conflict.

It said the safety of its customers and crew was a top priority and that it will assess the situation before resuming flights.

Air France cancelled flights to and from Tel Aviv, Beirut, Dubai and Riyadh up to and including Thursday. KLM, the Dutch arm of the group, has cancelled flights to and from Dammam, Dubai and Riyadh until 9 March, it said in a separate statement late on Monday.

Planes parked at Terminal 3 of Dubai International Airport after U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 2 March, 2026.
Reuters
Stocks plummet

Travel stocks plunged on Monday, wiping $22.6 billion off the value of major airlines, hotels, and travel companies, as escalating tensions between the U.S., Israel and Iran wreaked havoc on global aviation.

Key Middle Eastern hubs, including Dubai - usually the world’s busiest international airport with more than 1,000 daily flights - remained closed for a third consecutive day, leaving tens of thousands of passengers stranded.

Jordan partially closed its airspace, while the U.S. State Department urged Americans to leave more than a dozen countries in the region, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Oil prices surged by up to 13% to levels not seen since January 2025, raising concerns over higher fuel costs for airlines.

European carriers were hit hard, with TUI down 9.9%, Lufthansa 5.2%, and British Airways owner IAG 5.5%, while U.S. airlines such as Delta, United and American saw shares fall between 2% and 4%.

Analysts warned of weeks of disruption, citing flight cancellations, rerouting costs, and rising fuel prices, with some projecting historic oil supply interruptions if tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains limited.

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