The world is entering a more unstable and fragmented phase as global cooperation declines and rivalry between major powers intensifies, the World Economic Forum has warned.
In its Global Risks Report 2026, the forum said uncertainty had become the defining feature of the global outlook, based on insights from more than 1,300 experts worldwide.
Half of those surveyed said they expected the next two years to be turbulent or stormy, rising to 57% over the next decade. Just 1% anticipated a calm global environment.
The report identified geoeconomic confrontation as the most immediate global threat in 2026, followed closely by state-based armed conflict.
Trade disputes, protectionism and the use of economic pressure by major powers were cited as key drivers of instability, increasing the risk of wider confrontation.
Economic risks were also intensifying, with experts warning of higher chances of downturns, inflation and asset bubbles amid elevated debt levels and fragile financial markets.
Technological risks are accelerating, the report said, as misinformation, cyber insecurity and the long-term impact of artificial intelligence outstrip existing governance frameworks.
The report also highlighted a retreat from multilateralism, with trust between nations eroding as governments turn inward and cooperation gives way to competition.
Social pressures are mounting, with inequality described as the most interconnected global risk and political polarisation threatening social cohesion.
While environmental risks were seen as less urgent in the short term, they remain the most severe over the longer horizon, with extreme weather and climate change dominating the 10-year outlook.
Looking ahead, nearly 70% of experts said they expected a multipolar and fragmented global order driven more by rivalry than cooperation, warning that choices made now would shape global stability for years to come.
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Relations between Russia and Japan have effectively collapsed due to Tokyo’s “unfriendly” stance towards Moscow, the Kremlin said on Friday (20 February), adding that there is currently no dialogue aimed at concluding a peace treaty.
Despite its economic might, the European Union is often labelled a “geopolitical dwarf.” The only region where it acts as an indisputable player, able to assert its will with relative ease, is the Western Balkans, along with parts of Eastern Europe.
A bipartisan group of 37 U.S. lawmakers have written to senior Taiwanese politicians expressing concern about parliament stalling proposed defence spending, saying that the threat posed by China has never been greater.
Follow the latest developments and global reaction after the U.S. and Israel launched “major combat operations” in Iran, prompting retaliation from Tehran.
Governments across the region responded swiftly to Israel’s strikes on Iran, closing airspace, issuing travel advisories and activating contingency plans amid fears of escalation.
Ayatollah Alireza Arafi has moved into a pivotal constitutional role following the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, becoming the clerical member of Iran’s temporary leadership council under Article 111 of the Constitution of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
A senior Iranian official has warned Israel to “prepare for what is coming”, insisting that Tehran’s response to the latest escalation in the Middle East will be made openly and without limits.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader for 36 years and the country’s highest political and religious authority, has died aged 86 following joint Israeli and U.S. strikes on his compound in Tehran.
Protests broke out in Pakistan and Iraq on Sunday after Iranian state media confirmed that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had been killed in joint U.S.–Israeli strikes. At least nine people were reported dead in clashes near the U.S. consulate in Karachi.
Afghanistan said it had fired at Pakistani aircraft over Kabul after explosions and gunfire rocked the capital early on Sunday, marking a sharp escalation in fighting between the two neighbours.
A senior Iranian official has warned Israel to “prepare for what is coming”, insisting that Tehran’s response to the latest escalation in the Middle East will be made openly and without limits.
Cuba has released extensive details of a deadly midweek shootout at sea, showing rifles, pistols and nearly 13,000 rounds of ammunition that it says were carried by a group of exiles who attempted to enter the island by speedboat.
Afghanistan’s Taliban rulers said on Friday (27 February) they were ready to negotiate after Pakistan bombed their forces in several Afghan cities, including Kabul and Kandahar, and Islamabad declared the neighbours were now in "open war".
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