The world is entering a more unstable and fragmented phase as global cooperation declines and rivalry between major powers intensifies, the World Economic Forum has warned.
In its Global Risks Report 2026, the forum said uncertainty had become the defining feature of the global outlook, based on insights from more than 1,300 experts worldwide.
Half of those surveyed said they expected the next two years to be turbulent or stormy, rising to 57% over the next decade. Just 1% anticipated a calm global environment.
The report identified geoeconomic confrontation as the most immediate global threat in 2026, followed closely by state-based armed conflict.
Trade disputes, protectionism and the use of economic pressure by major powers were cited as key drivers of instability, increasing the risk of wider confrontation.
Economic risks were also intensifying, with experts warning of higher chances of downturns, inflation and asset bubbles amid elevated debt levels and fragile financial markets.
Technological risks are accelerating, the report said, as misinformation, cyber insecurity and the long-term impact of artificial intelligence outstrip existing governance frameworks.
The report also highlighted a retreat from multilateralism, with trust between nations eroding as governments turn inward and cooperation gives way to competition.
Social pressures are mounting, with inequality described as the most interconnected global risk and political polarisation threatening social cohesion.
While environmental risks were seen as less urgent in the short term, they remain the most severe over the longer horizon, with extreme weather and climate change dominating the 10-year outlook.
Looking ahead, nearly 70% of experts said they expected a multipolar and fragmented global order driven more by rivalry than cooperation, warning that choices made now would shape global stability for years to come.
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The collective-defence agreement between Türkiye, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signals that regional powers no longer want to rely solely on external security guarantees. Whether it becomes a stabilising deterrent or another axis of rivalry remains unresolved.
Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has slowed, according to the latest data, as uncertainty over the waterway’s reopening kept most shipowners away. Six commodity vessels crossed the strait on Tuesday, down from nine the day before and below the 10-day daily average of 11.
Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains limited on Thursday, with no increase in vessel crossings as U.S.-Iran talks to resolve the conflict remained stalled. Nine commodity vessels transited the key waterway on Wednesday, unchanged from the previous day, according to Kpler data.
Iran has said the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until the U.S. fulfils the terms of an interim deal, including lifting the maritime blockade and sanctions and releasing Iran’s frozen assets.
Start your day informed with AnewZ Morning Brief. Here are the top news stories for the 19th of August, covering the latest developments.
Australia on Thursday condemned Israel’s decision to close its criminal investigation into the deaths of Australian aid worker Zomi Frankcom and six World Central Kitchen colleagues killed in Gaza in April 2024.
Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains limited on Thursday, with no increase in vessel crossings as U.S.-Iran talks to resolve the conflict remained stalled. Nine commodity vessels transited the key waterway on Wednesday, unchanged from the previous day, according to Kpler data.
North Korea has fired more than 10 short-range ballistic missiles after U.S. President Donald Trump reduced American participation in joint military exercises with South Korea in an effort to revive dialogue with Pyongyang.
Georgia’s foreign trade data for January-July 2026 shows Kyrgyzstan, China and Russia as its top three export markets, highlighting its Middle Corridor ambitions and complex economic ties with Moscow.
Kazakhstan will vote on 23 August in its first parliamentary election under the new Constitution, choosing 145 members of the new Kurultai under a fundamentally changed electoral system based entirely on party lists.
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