The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said Friday that continued global tariff hikes imposed by President Donald Trump could shrink the national deficit by $4 trillion over the next ten years.
According to the nonpartisan agency, higher tariff revenues could cut primary deficits by $3.3 trillion and reduce federal interest payments by $0.7 trillion.
However, the current top tariff rates may change as trade negotiations and international legal challenges continue. The additional revenue could offset deficit growth triggered by the recent Republican tax-cut and spending bill, which CBO estimates would add $3.4 trillion to the deficit over the next decade.
The U.S. federal debt currently stands at $37.18 trillion, continuing to rise under both Republican and Democratic administrations as Congress authorises more spending than revenue. Lawmakers face a government funding deadline at the end of September, or risk a shutdown.
The latest estimate is higher than CBO’s June projection, which forecast a $2.5 trillion reduction in primary deficits and a $500 billion cut in interest outlays.
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