The World Bank has announced that Tajikistan's medium-term outlook remains favourable, with growth projected to moderate to 7% in 2025 and converge toward a growth rate of 4.5% in 2026 and 5% in 2027.
Economic outlook faces several downside risks that stem from Russia’s labor migration policies, global policy instability, and ongoing regional conflicts.
The World Bank’s annual Tajikistan Economic Update, released today, emphasized that sustaining Tajikistan’s strong economic momentum and unlocking its growth potential will require the government’s firm commitment to accelerating reforms. Key priorities include attracting greater private investment by strengthening the competition framework, streamlining investment procedures, enhancing investor protection, and improving public sector efficiency and accountability to ensure better public service delivery.
Tajikistan’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth reached 8.4% in 2024 and 8.2% in the first quarter of 2025 with services and industry driving the expansion. Domestic demand was bolstered by substantial remittance inflows, which totaled approximately 49% of GDP in 2024 compared to 39% in 2023, and by increased public sector wages.
The World Bank draws the attention to the importance of digital transformation in Tajikistan’s trade sector, pointing to significant infrastructure and regulatory gaps, which could bring substantial benefits. The report notes that poor internet connectivity affects nearly half of the country’s customs checkpoints. Additionally, there are shortcomings in areas such as digital identity, paperless trade, data protection, security standards, cross-border data transfers, and consumer safeguards.
“Tajikistan stands at a crucial juncture in its economic development, where smart digital transformation can positively shape its trade prospects for years to come,” said Bakhrom Ziyaev, the World Bank Senior Economist for Tajikistan and author of the report. “By prioritizing these reforms, Tajikistan has the potential to significantly facilitate trade and digitalization of the economy thus unlocking substantial economic growth, generating new high-value employment opportunities, and enhancing its integration into the regional and global digital economy.”
The World Bank's report identifies several priority areas for accelerating digitalization in Tajikistan, including strengthening digital connectivity and cybersecurity, modernizing government digital services to improve online service efficiency, creating an integrated ecosystem for seamless trade and implementing performance monitoring.
The Bank projected that e-commerce market in the country is expected to grow at a modest 4.7% annual rate from 2025 to 2029, reaching $28.4million by 2029. Referring to an international experience, strong digital trade regulations can reduce goods trade costs by up to 20% and service costs by up to 30%.
However, Tajikistan needs to accelerate the improvement of its legal and regulatory frameworks, which currently have significant gaps hindering the development of digital commerce. It also emphasizes the importance of strengthening the legal framework to align with international standards for electronic transactions and data protection.
The United States has deployed the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford near Israel as part of a growing military build-up amid tensions with Iran, whi...
Speaking during a closed-door deposition in New York on Thursday (February), former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said she did not “recall...
Britain’s Ministry of Defence is reviewing military flight records after files appeared to show that Jeffrey Epstein’s private jet landed at Royal...
Pakistan’s overnight air strikes on Afghanistan’s major cities have deepened a volatile standoff between the neighbours, straining a fragile cease...
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Friday urged Afghanistan and Pakistan to resolve their differences through dialogue, offering Tehran’s a...
A new freight corridor linking China with Tajikistan via Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan has entered pilot operation, marking another step in Central Asia’s expanding transport connectivity.
Tajikistan has announced an unprecedented rise in dust storms. Over the past 12 months, meteorologists recorded 63 such weather events, lasting a total of 216 days, or almost 60 per cent of the year.
Trade turnover between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan reached $33.4m in 2025, almost three times higher than the previous year, according to data from Tajikistan’s Customs Service.
Historic border agreements in 2025 brought renewed hopes of stability to the Fergana Valley, easing long-running tensions between Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan.
The death toll from heavy rains and flooding in Brazil’s Minas Gerais state has risen to 46, authorities said, with 21 people still reported missing. The storms triggered landslides and widespread flooding, displacing thousands across Juiz de Fora and Uba.
The situation in Cuba was heating up and called for restraint following a deadly incident involving a Florida-registered speedboat off the coast of the Caribbean island, the Kremlin said on Thursday (26 February).
Syria’s economy is showing clear signs of recovery, with economic activity accelerating in recent months, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Wednesday.
The United States has deployed the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford near Israel as part of a growing military build-up amid tensions with Iran, while governments around the world urge their citizens to leave parts of the region.
Venezuela’s Attorney General Tarek William Saab and Ombudsman Alfredo Ruiz tendered their resignations to the National Assembly on Wednesday. Neither official has publicly provided reasons for stepping down.
Paramount Skydance emerged as the winner in a months-long battle to acquire Warner Bros Discovery after streaming giant Netflix on Thursday refused to raise its bid for the storied Hollywood studio.
Global debt surged to a record $348.3 trillion at the end of 2025, after nearly $29 trillion was added over the year, marking the fastest annual increase since the pandemic, according to the Institute of International Finance (IIF) report released on Wednesday.
Millions of Colombian roses have arrived in the United States just in time for Valentine’s Day, keeping the country on track as the world’s second-largest flower exporter. Between 15 January and 9 February, Colombia shipped roughly 65,000 tons of fresh-cut blooms.
Russia’s car market is continuing to receive tens of thousands of foreign-brand vehicles via China despite sanctions imposed after Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, a journalistic investigation has found.
Türkiye’s national energy company, TPAO, has struck a new cooperation deal with U.S. energy giant Chevron, signing a memorandum of understanding to explore joint oil and gas exploration and production opportunities, the Turkish Energy and Natural Resources Ministry announced on Thursday.
You can download the AnewZ application from Play Store and the App Store.
What is your opinion on this topic?
Leave the first comment