The World Bank has announced that Tajikistan's medium-term outlook remains favourable, with growth projected to moderate to 7% in 2025 and converge toward a growth rate of 4.5% in 2026 and 5% in 2027.
Economic outlook faces several downside risks that stem from Russia’s labor migration policies, global policy instability, and ongoing regional conflicts.
The World Bank’s annual Tajikistan Economic Update, released today, emphasized that sustaining Tajikistan’s strong economic momentum and unlocking its growth potential will require the government’s firm commitment to accelerating reforms. Key priorities include attracting greater private investment by strengthening the competition framework, streamlining investment procedures, enhancing investor protection, and improving public sector efficiency and accountability to ensure better public service delivery.
Tajikistan’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth reached 8.4% in 2024 and 8.2% in the first quarter of 2025 with services and industry driving the expansion. Domestic demand was bolstered by substantial remittance inflows, which totaled approximately 49% of GDP in 2024 compared to 39% in 2023, and by increased public sector wages.
The World Bank draws the attention to the importance of digital transformation in Tajikistan’s trade sector, pointing to significant infrastructure and regulatory gaps, which could bring substantial benefits. The report notes that poor internet connectivity affects nearly half of the country’s customs checkpoints. Additionally, there are shortcomings in areas such as digital identity, paperless trade, data protection, security standards, cross-border data transfers, and consumer safeguards.
“Tajikistan stands at a crucial juncture in its economic development, where smart digital transformation can positively shape its trade prospects for years to come,” said Bakhrom Ziyaev, the World Bank Senior Economist for Tajikistan and author of the report. “By prioritizing these reforms, Tajikistan has the potential to significantly facilitate trade and digitalization of the economy thus unlocking substantial economic growth, generating new high-value employment opportunities, and enhancing its integration into the regional and global digital economy.”
The World Bank's report identifies several priority areas for accelerating digitalization in Tajikistan, including strengthening digital connectivity and cybersecurity, modernizing government digital services to improve online service efficiency, creating an integrated ecosystem for seamless trade and implementing performance monitoring.
The Bank projected that e-commerce market in the country is expected to grow at a modest 4.7% annual rate from 2025 to 2029, reaching $28.4million by 2029. Referring to an international experience, strong digital trade regulations can reduce goods trade costs by up to 20% and service costs by up to 30%.
However, Tajikistan needs to accelerate the improvement of its legal and regulatory frameworks, which currently have significant gaps hindering the development of digital commerce. It also emphasizes the importance of strengthening the legal framework to align with international standards for electronic transactions and data protection.
The FIFA World Cup 2026 is set to be one of a kind when it kicks off on 11 June, as it brings with it a slew of firsts ahead of co-hosts Mexico takin...
U.S. forces say they have completed strikes on Iranian military sites near the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded with missile attacks on an American b...
Concurrent with the renewed military standoff between Iran and the U.S. in the Middle East, Tehran and Washington are clashing at the International At...
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has warned that Israel’s military operations in Syria and Lebanon have escalated to a point where they could...
More than 1,300 migrants died or went missing while attempting to reach Spain between January and May 2026, according to Spanish NGO Caminando Fronter...
Tajikistan is hosting the Fourth International Conference on the International Decade for Action “Water for Sustainable Development” from 25 to 28 May in Dushanbe, bringing together thousands of participants from governments, international organisations and financial institutions.
Tajik scientists have warned that glaciers in the Pamir Mountains are melting at an alarming rate, including in high-altitude areas previously considered relatively stable, following the country’s first direct winter glacier measurements since independence.
Tajikistan and China signed more than 50 agreements worth more than $8 billion during President Emomali Rahmon’s visit to Beijing, deepening economic ties and reinforcing China’s role as Tajikistan’s leading investor and creditor.
Samarkand is hosting the 59th Annual Meeting of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), where global leaders have gathered to discuss regional growth, as the bank unveils a major $70 billion initiative to strengthen energy and digital connectivity across Asia and the Pacific.
Azerbaijan's Foreign Ministry says 19 citizens have been repatriated following a deadly drone attack on two cargo ships in the Sea of Azov on 5 June.
A Sudanese man has been arrested over a knife attack in Belfast that left a man seriously injured and prompted calls online for a protest after footage of the incident circulated widely on social media.
Iran and Israel said on Monday (8 June) they had halted attacks on each other following an appeal from U.S. President Donald Trump, as Axios reported that Trump had privately told Benjamin Netanyahu “be careful, or you will be on your own very soon”.
Ukraine's military said it struck a Russian "shadow fleet" tanker in the Black Sea as part of ongoing efforts to disrupt Moscow's energy and logistics networks. The move underscores Kyiv's focus on targeting maritime assets it says are used to bypass sanctions on Russian oil exports.
Armenia’s parliamentary election has strengthened Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s mandate, with analysts linking the result to his post-Garabagh agenda and pro-Western direction. However, constitutional constraints remain a key obstacle to peace efforts with Azerbaijan.
Apple has unveiled a long-awaited upgrade to Siri, aiming to close the gap with technology rivals and emerging artificial intelligence firms in an increasingly competitive market.
ChatGPT maker OpenAI has confidentially filed for a U.S. initial public offering (IPO), the company said on Monday, joining rival Anthropic in a race to the stock market as investors seek exposure to the artificial intelligence boom.
Chinese carmakers are rapidly reshaping the global automotive market, with record exports, soaring electric vehicle sales and growing investments overseas putting pressure on established European, Japanese and U.S. rivals.
The International Labour Organization (ILO) has begun its latest round of negotiations on creating the first binding global standards for platform-based work, covering services such as ride-hailing, food delivery and other app-based work.
European companies are continuing to deepen their presence in China, with nearly seven in ten firms maintaining or expanding their supply chains despite global efforts to diversify, according to a new survey by the EU Chamber of Commerce.
You can download the AnewZ application from Play Store and the App Store.
What is your opinion on this topic?
Leave the first comment