Eurozone private sector growth almost stalled this month, a key survey showed on Tuesday, adding to evidence that the bloc is already feeling economic fallout from the U.S. and Israeli war with Iran, with inflation rising and growth slowing.
“The economic hit from higher energy prices could be felt very quickly,” Jack Allen-Reynolds at Capital Economics said. “Based on our working assumptions for energy prices, we suspect that the economy will stagnate rather than contract, but there are clearly risks in both directions.”
Interest rates are rising amid expectations of further European Central Bank rate increases to curb inflation, pushing some mortgage rates higher and denting disposable incomes.
Meanwhile, petrol prices have risen by more than 10% across the EU, while diesel is up over 20%. Even if the war ends relatively soon, prices are unlikely to fall quickly, as some energy infrastructure has been damaged and fuel bottlenecks may take several months to resolve.
The S&P Global flash eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to a 10-month low of 50.5 in March, down from 51.9 in February, as the war drove input costs to their highest in more than three years and triggered the worst supply chain disruptions since mid-2022.
“The flash eurozone PMI is ringing stagflation alarm bells as the war in the Middle East drives prices sharply higher while stifling growth,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.
The fall in the PMI comes as German figures held up relatively well, while other major economies took a bigger hit, including France, where business confidence tumbled.
Separate data released a day earlier showed consumer confidence in the bloc falling to its lowest level since late 2023, marking one of the steepest declines on record and dropping well below its long-term average as economic pressures weigh on households.
Foreign ministers of Cambodia and Thailand delivered opening statements on Tuesday at the first meeting of a UN ar...
Every day since a torrent of mud and rocks destroyed a Nepal-China border crossing high up in the Himalayas last m...
A drone hit a petrol station in Ukraine's capital of Kyiv early on Tuesday, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said on the...
Maritime trackers received new reports of an attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), adding to concerns about energy supplies after Saudi Arabia shut down a vital oil pipeline on Saturday.
A Kyiv-Warsaw train was struck near the Polish border, Ukraine's state railway firm said on Sunday. No passengers were injured. Ukrainian Railways said that the country's railways were facing systematic attacks for a second day and warned of widespread delays.
U.S. Central Command said 101 commercial vessels have been redirected in the Strait of Hormuz, while oil prices rose more than three per cent amid fresh regional attacks and supply concerns.
Swedes vote in an election on Sunday (13 September) that could see the far-right enter government for the first time if the country's right-wing parties can form a majority.
A Russian strike on a farm warehouse in Pryluky, north-central Ukraine, has killed at least three people, local police said. Meanwhile, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said an attack on a train near the Polish border was an attempt to intimidate Ukraine's allies.
A drone hit a petrol station in Ukraine's capital of Kyiv early on Tuesday, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said on the Telegram messaging app, adding that there was also a strike on warehouse facilities in another part of the city.
Every day since a torrent of mud and rocks destroyed a Nepal-China border crossing high up in the Himalayas last month, Arushi Gupta's parents have called and messaged their missing daughter hoping she somehow survived.
Foreign ministers of Cambodia and Thailand delivered opening statements on Tuesday at the first meeting of a UN arbitration process to resolve a long-running maritime dispute between the two Southeast Asian neighbours.
A federal judge has halted a Trump administration immigration policy that would have significantly changed how long foreign students, exchange visitors and international journalists can remain in the United States.
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has expressed cautious optimism about ongoing discussions with the United States regarding Greenland, signalling that Copenhagen believes a cooperative solution can be reached despite years of political tensions surrounding the strategic Arctic territory.
You can download the AnewZ application from Play Store and the App Store.
What is your opinion on this topic?
Leave the first comment