U.S.-Iran peace talk prospects 'dim,' while both countries think they're winning war, political analyst says

Prospects for new peace talks between Iran and the U.S. are “dim,” with both sides operating on false assumptions, a political analyst told AnewZ. 

James M. Dorsey, told AnewZ’s Daybreak programme on Tuesday (21 April) that both nations believe they have the upper hand in the conflict, which makes successful peace talks more difficult to achieve. 

“The problem is that both sides believe they’re winning this war and they don’t only want to declare victory, they want to declare the defeat of the other party, which complicates any negotiation, if not makes it impossible,” he told AnewZ’s Nadia Gyane. 

Dorsey added that U.S. President Donald Trump had made several strategic mistakes with regards to the conflict, including overestimating his own negotiation skills and the ability of U.S. military power to impose Washington’s will on other nations. 

The U.S. and Iran ceasefire is due to expire on Wednesday (22 April), with it unclear whether peace talks in the Pakistani capital Islamabad will take place between the two countries or not. 

“It’s a total misunderstanding of what is possible in Iran and what is not possible, that assumption that military force would force Iran to capitulate,” he said.

While Pakistan has said it is confident Iran will join the negotiations and JD Vance is reportedly set to visit Islamabad, Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned on X on Tuesday that Tehran will not negotiate “under the shadow of threats” from the U.S. 

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