Oil prices fell 2% as OPEC downgraded its global demand forecast and China's oil imports dropped for the fifth consecutive month. Concerns over Israeli-Iran tensions also weighed on markets, with Brent settling at $77.46 per barrel and WTI at $73.83 per barrel.
Oil prices dropped 2% on Monday as OPEC revised down its expectations for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025, coinciding with China's oil imports declining for the fifth month in a row.
Investor confidence was not boosted by China’s stimulus efforts, while attention remained on potential Israeli strikes against Iranian oil facilities. Brent crude futures closed down $1.58, or 2%, at $77.46 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.73, or 2.29%, to $73.83 per barrel. Last week, Brent had increased by 99 cents, and WTI rose by $1.18.
After-hours trading saw Brent drop more than $4, or 5%, following reports that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu informed the U.S. of Israel's willingness to target Iranian military sites, excluding nuclear or oil facilities. Additionally, U.S. heating oil futures fell 5%, and gasoline futures decreased by over 4%.
OPEC's forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 has been revised down for the third consecutive time, largely due to lower expectations for China, which accounts for a significant portion of this year's downgrade. OPEC reduced its forecast for Chinese oil demand to 580,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 650,000 bpd.
In the first nine months of the year, China's crude imports fell nearly 3% from the previous year to 10.99 million bpd.
Decreasing demand in China is attributed to the rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and a slowdown in economic growth post-COVID-19, negatively impacting global oil consumption and prices. This negative outlook from China overshadowed market worries about potential disruptions in oil production following an Israeli response to Iran's missile attack on October 1.
The U.S. announced its decision to deploy troops and an advanced anti-missile system to Israel to enhance its air defenses. “While an attack by Israel into Iran is likely to happen, the latest reinforcing measures by the US military may have calmed the responses on both sides,” noted Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.
He added, “A nervous trade will remain with most fund managers remaining on the sidelines.” Meanwhile, U.S. officials have been discreetly advising Israel to carefully consider its response to avoid triggering a larger conflict in the Middle East.
President Biden has also publicly expressed his opposition to an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities and concerns over potential attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure.
Additionally, the dollar reached a nine-week peak on Monday during light trading, which can negatively impact demand for dollar-denominated oil among buyers using other currencies.
Oil prices rose on Wednesday, driven by tighter supply from OPEC members and Russia, alongside stronger-than-expected U.S. job data indicating economic growth and higher oil demand.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen said on Monday that a court's decision to bar her from office for misuse of European funds ruled her out of the 2027 presidential election, adding she had no confidence in an appeal being heard before the vote.
On March 31, 2025, European diplomats met in Madrid to discuss the ongoing war in Ukraine and the need for Russia to agree to a ceasefire.
President Trump confirmed he is serious about a potential third term, despite constitutional limits, saying it is “far too early” to decide. While U.S. presidents are restricted to two terms, Trump allies are exploring ways to challenge this rule ahead of the 2028 election.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen was banned from running for public office for five years after being convicted of embezzlement, ruling her out of the 2027 presidential race. She received a four-year prison sentence, with two years suspended, and a €100,000 fine. Le Pen plans to appeal.
Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF) pilots, monitoring a Chinese navy warship as it navigated Australian waters, were alerted to a live-fire exercise via a civilian radio broadcast, defense officials revealed on Tuesday.
A powerful 7.7-magnitude earthquake struck Myanmar’s Sagaing region, followed by a 6.4-magnitude tremor, killing 2056 people and leaving 3,900 injured. The quake caused building collapses in Myanmar and Thailand, prompting emergency declarations and ongoing rescue efforts.
As the world shifts toward clean energy at an ever-accelerating pace, large economies are scrambling to secure reliable supply chains for rare earth minerals. These minerals, once seen as mere industrial components, have become a political tool in the global power struggle
Russian forces carried out a drone attack on Ukraine’s second-largest city, Kharkiv, late Wednesday, injuring at least twenty one people and causing structural damage, according to Ukrainian officials.
Paul Marchant has resigned as CEO of Primark with immediate effect after admitting to an "error of judgment" in a social interaction last year. Parent company AB Foods expressed disappointment, citing the importance of integrity. Finance director Eoin Tonge will serve as interim CEO.
Apple marked its 49th anniversary by reaching a market capitalization of $3.3 trillion. Despite recent tech stock volatility, Apple's shares surged 28% in 2024.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board has completed the Seventh Review of the Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) for Ukraine, enabling a disbursement of about $0.4 billion, which will be allocated for budget support.
Elon Musk’s xAI has acquired his social media platform X in a $33 billion all-stock deal.
Popular coffee brands are negotiating price hikes with retailers due to a sharp rise in arabica costs, with some supermarket shelves running out of stock. Prices may increase by up to 25% as companies grapple with supply chain pressures.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen said on Monday that a court's decision to bar her from office for misuse of European funds ruled her out of the 2027 presidential election, adding she had no confidence in an appeal being heard before the vote.
On March 31, 2025, European diplomats met in Madrid to discuss the ongoing war in Ukraine and the need for Russia to agree to a ceasefire.
President Trump confirmed he is serious about a potential third term, despite constitutional limits, saying it is “far too early” to decide. While U.S. presidents are restricted to two terms, Trump allies are exploring ways to challenge this rule ahead of the 2028 election.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen was banned from running for public office for five years after being convicted of embezzlement, ruling her out of the 2027 presidential race. She received a four-year prison sentence, with two years suspended, and a €100,000 fine. Le Pen plans to appeal.
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