Oil prices fell 2% as OPEC downgraded its global demand forecast and China's oil imports dropped for the fifth consecutive month. Concerns over Israeli-Iran tensions also weighed on markets, with Brent settling at $77.46 per barrel and WTI at $73.83 per barrel.
Oil prices dropped 2% on Monday as OPEC revised down its expectations for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025, coinciding with China's oil imports declining for the fifth month in a row.
Investor confidence was not boosted by China’s stimulus efforts, while attention remained on potential Israeli strikes against Iranian oil facilities. Brent crude futures closed down $1.58, or 2%, at $77.46 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.73, or 2.29%, to $73.83 per barrel. Last week, Brent had increased by 99 cents, and WTI rose by $1.18.
After-hours trading saw Brent drop more than $4, or 5%, following reports that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu informed the U.S. of Israel's willingness to target Iranian military sites, excluding nuclear or oil facilities. Additionally, U.S. heating oil futures fell 5%, and gasoline futures decreased by over 4%.
OPEC's forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 has been revised down for the third consecutive time, largely due to lower expectations for China, which accounts for a significant portion of this year's downgrade. OPEC reduced its forecast for Chinese oil demand to 580,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 650,000 bpd.
In the first nine months of the year, China's crude imports fell nearly 3% from the previous year to 10.99 million bpd.
Decreasing demand in China is attributed to the rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and a slowdown in economic growth post-COVID-19, negatively impacting global oil consumption and prices. This negative outlook from China overshadowed market worries about potential disruptions in oil production following an Israeli response to Iran's missile attack on October 1.
The U.S. announced its decision to deploy troops and an advanced anti-missile system to Israel to enhance its air defenses. “While an attack by Israel into Iran is likely to happen, the latest reinforcing measures by the US military may have calmed the responses on both sides,” noted Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.
He added, “A nervous trade will remain with most fund managers remaining on the sidelines.” Meanwhile, U.S. officials have been discreetly advising Israel to carefully consider its response to avoid triggering a larger conflict in the Middle East.
President Biden has also publicly expressed his opposition to an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities and concerns over potential attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure.
Additionally, the dollar reached a nine-week peak on Monday during light trading, which can negatively impact demand for dollar-denominated oil among buyers using other currencies.
Oil prices rose on Wednesday, driven by tighter supply from OPEC members and Russia, alongside stronger-than-expected U.S. job data indicating economic growth and higher oil demand.
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Hamas has begun releasing six more hostages from Gaza on Saturday in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, as Israel confirmed that a body handed over earlier was that of hostage Shiri Bibas.
Start your day informed with AnewZ Morning Brief: here are the top news stories for February 22nd, covering the latest developments you need to know.
A tragic crowd crush at New Delhi Railway Station on Saturday night left 18 dead and 10 injured as thousands of people, many heading to the Kumbh Mela festival, attempted to board delayed trains. The incident highlights the ongoing risks of overcrowding at public transportation hubs in India.
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Hamas has begun releasing six more hostages from Gaza on Saturday in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, as Israel confirmed that a body handed over earlier was that of hostage Shiri Bibas.
Start your day informed with AnewZ Morning Brief: here are the top news stories for February 22nd, covering the latest developments you need to know.
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