Oil prices fell 2% as OPEC downgraded its global demand forecast and China's oil imports dropped for the fifth consecutive month. Concerns over Israeli-Iran tensions also weighed on markets, with Brent settling at $77.46 per barrel and WTI at $73.83 per barrel.
Oil prices dropped 2% on Monday as OPEC revised down its expectations for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025, coinciding with China's oil imports declining for the fifth month in a row.
Investor confidence was not boosted by China’s stimulus efforts, while attention remained on potential Israeli strikes against Iranian oil facilities. Brent crude futures closed down $1.58, or 2%, at $77.46 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.73, or 2.29%, to $73.83 per barrel. Last week, Brent had increased by 99 cents, and WTI rose by $1.18.
After-hours trading saw Brent drop more than $4, or 5%, following reports that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu informed the U.S. of Israel's willingness to target Iranian military sites, excluding nuclear or oil facilities. Additionally, U.S. heating oil futures fell 5%, and gasoline futures decreased by over 4%.
OPEC's forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 has been revised down for the third consecutive time, largely due to lower expectations for China, which accounts for a significant portion of this year's downgrade. OPEC reduced its forecast for Chinese oil demand to 580,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 650,000 bpd.
In the first nine months of the year, China's crude imports fell nearly 3% from the previous year to 10.99 million bpd.
Decreasing demand in China is attributed to the rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and a slowdown in economic growth post-COVID-19, negatively impacting global oil consumption and prices. This negative outlook from China overshadowed market worries about potential disruptions in oil production following an Israeli response to Iran's missile attack on October 1.
The U.S. announced its decision to deploy troops and an advanced anti-missile system to Israel to enhance its air defenses. “While an attack by Israel into Iran is likely to happen, the latest reinforcing measures by the US military may have calmed the responses on both sides,” noted Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.
He added, “A nervous trade will remain with most fund managers remaining on the sidelines.” Meanwhile, U.S. officials have been discreetly advising Israel to carefully consider its response to avoid triggering a larger conflict in the Middle East.
President Biden has also publicly expressed his opposition to an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities and concerns over potential attacks on Iranian energy infrastructure.
Additionally, the dollar reached a nine-week peak on Monday during light trading, which can negatively impact demand for dollar-denominated oil among buyers using other currencies.
Oil prices rose on Wednesday, driven by tighter supply from OPEC members and Russia, alongside stronger-than-expected U.S. job data indicating economic growth and higher oil demand.
South Korea’s top court will decide on Friday whether to remove or reinstate President Yoon Suk Yeol, whose brief martial law order sparked the country’s biggest political crisis in years.
The Pentagon’s internal debate over restructuring key military commands — including potentially ending the U.S. monopoly over NATO’s top post — has raised red flags among generals and lawmakers alike, amid growing unease in Europe.
President Trump’s new tariffs hit 185 countries, with Kazakhstan facing the highest rate at 27%. Kazakhstan now seeks talks with U.S. officials to ease the impact.
The U.S. has pressured Lebanon to act against Hezbollah, urging the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) to enforce a ceasefire. The LAF, caught between U.S. demands and Hezbollah’s influence, risks losing vital U.S. support if it fails to act.
U.N. aid chief Tom Fletcher is set to visit Myanmar on Friday, following the country’s devastating earthquake. The U.N. is urging for urgent international assistance and unhindered aid access as the region grapples with the aftermath of the disaster.
Aid groups in Myanmar’s worst-hit areas urgently need shelter, food, and water after a devastating 7.7 magnitude earthquake killed over 2,700 people. Rescue efforts face challenges due to ongoing civil war, damaged infrastructure, and restricted aid access, with the toll expected to rise.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen was banned from running for public office for five years after being convicted of embezzlement, ruling her out of the 2027 presidential race. She received a four-year prison sentence, with two years suspended, and a €100,000 fine. Le Pen plans to appeal.
The Armenian armed forces attempted three reconnaissance drone flights over Azerbaijan Army positions near Gerenzur, but all were successfully intercepted. Meanwhile, Armenian units repeatedly fired on Azerbaijani positions from multiple regions, escalating tensions in the area.
Apple marked its 49th anniversary by reaching a market capitalization of $3.3 trillion. Despite recent tech stock volatility, Apple's shares surged 28% in 2024.
Wall Street’s major indexes tumbled sharply after U.S. President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs on key trade partners triggered fears of a trade war and global recession. Investors reacted with panic, sending markets into a steep decline.
Danish jeweler Pandora estimates that U.S. tariffs could cost the company around 1.2 billion crowns ($178 million) annually. While some mitigation is possible, Pandora is exploring further measures, including price adjustments and supply chain changes, to reduce the financial burden.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) have joined forces to improve farmland management and strengthen food security in the Kyrgyz Republic.
Asian stock markets experienced a significant decline on Thursday following the announcement by US President Donald Trump of new reciprocal tariffs on several US trade partners. The tariffs, which range from 10% to 50%, were announced by Trump on April 2, a day he referred to as “Liberation Day.”
Eight OPEC+ countries meeting on Thursday will focus debates on how to convince Kazakhstan to stop exceeding its output quota and its plans to compensate for overproduction as the group steps up gradual production hikes.
South Korea’s top court will decide on Friday whether to remove or reinstate President Yoon Suk Yeol, whose brief martial law order sparked the country’s biggest political crisis in years.
The Pentagon’s internal debate over restructuring key military commands — including potentially ending the U.S. monopoly over NATO’s top post — has raised red flags among generals and lawmakers alike, amid growing unease in Europe.
President Trump’s new tariffs hit 185 countries, with Kazakhstan facing the highest rate at 27%. Kazakhstan now seeks talks with U.S. officials to ease the impact.
The U.S. has pressured Lebanon to act against Hezbollah, urging the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) to enforce a ceasefire. The LAF, caught between U.S. demands and Hezbollah’s influence, risks losing vital U.S. support if it fails to act.
U.N. aid chief Tom Fletcher is set to visit Myanmar on Friday, following the country’s devastating earthquake. The U.N. is urging for urgent international assistance and unhindered aid access as the region grapples with the aftermath of the disaster.
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