Oil prices rose on Wednesday, driven by tighter supply from OPEC members and Russia, alongside stronger-than-expected U.S. job data indicating economic growth and higher oil demand.
Oil prices climbed on Wednesday, fueled by tighter supplies from Russia and OPEC members, alongside data showing an unexpected rise in U.S. job openings, signaling economic growth and increased demand for oil.
Brent crude rose by 32 cents, or 0.42%, to $77.37 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 42 cents, or 0.57%, reaching $74.67.
A Reuters survey revealed that OPEC's oil output fell in December, reversing the increases seen in the previous two months. Maintenance work in the United Arab Emirates offset production gains in Nigeria and other OPEC countries.
Meanwhile, Russian oil output averaged 8.971 million barrels per day in December, falling short of the country's production target, according to Bloomberg.
On the economic front, U.S. job openings increased unexpectedly in November, and layoffs remained low. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) indicated that workers were also less willing to quit their jobs, a sign of labor market stability. Capital Economics noted that the data, combined with recent employment reports, pointed to a labor market approaching pre-pandemic levels.
In addition, U.S. crude oil stocks fell last week, while fuel inventories increased, according to data from the American Petroleum Institute.
Looking ahead, analysts predict that oil prices will average lower in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to rising production from non-OPEC countries. BMI, a division of Fitch Group, forecasts Brent crude to average $76 per barrel in 2025, down from $80 per barrel in 2024. Their bearish outlook is driven by expectations of oversupply, with production growth surpassing demand growth by 485,000 barrels per day.
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Oil prices dropped 1% on Monday after hitting five-month highs, as markets assessed the impact of U.S. strikes on Iran and potential risks to oil transit through the Strait of Hormuz.
Goldman Sachs economists have warned that any significant disruption to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz could push Brent crude prices over $100 per barrel, potentially causing a sharp rise in transport costs, inflation, and slowing global growth.
Global oil demand will continue rising until around 2030, even as China’s consumption peaks in 2027, driven by low U.S. gasoline prices and slower EV adoption, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.
The U.S. economy faces a 40% risk of recession in the second half of 2025, JP Morgan analysts said on Wednesday, citing rising tariffs and stagflation concerns.
China has ramped up efforts to protect communities impacted by flood control measures, introducing stronger compensation policies and direct aid from the central government.
Severe rain in Venezuela has caused rivers to overflow and triggered landslides, sweeping away homes and collapsing a highway bridge, with five states affected and no casualties reported so far.
A malfunction in the radar transmission system at the Area Control Center in Milan suspended more than 300 flights at the weekend, across northwest Italy since Saturday evening according to Italy's air traffic controller Enav (National Agency for Flight Assistance).
Thousands of protesters rallied in Bangkok on Saturday, demanding Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra resign as political and economic tensions mount.
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