Oil prices rose on Wednesday, driven by tighter supply from OPEC members and Russia, alongside stronger-than-expected U.S. job data indicating economic growth and higher oil demand.
Oil prices climbed on Wednesday, fueled by tighter supplies from Russia and OPEC members, alongside data showing an unexpected rise in U.S. job openings, signaling economic growth and increased demand for oil.
Brent crude rose by 32 cents, or 0.42%, to $77.37 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 42 cents, or 0.57%, reaching $74.67.
A Reuters survey revealed that OPEC's oil output fell in December, reversing the increases seen in the previous two months. Maintenance work in the United Arab Emirates offset production gains in Nigeria and other OPEC countries.
Meanwhile, Russian oil output averaged 8.971 million barrels per day in December, falling short of the country's production target, according to Bloomberg.
On the economic front, U.S. job openings increased unexpectedly in November, and layoffs remained low. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) indicated that workers were also less willing to quit their jobs, a sign of labor market stability. Capital Economics noted that the data, combined with recent employment reports, pointed to a labor market approaching pre-pandemic levels.
In addition, U.S. crude oil stocks fell last week, while fuel inventories increased, according to data from the American Petroleum Institute.
Looking ahead, analysts predict that oil prices will average lower in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily due to rising production from non-OPEC countries. BMI, a division of Fitch Group, forecasts Brent crude to average $76 per barrel in 2025, down from $80 per barrel in 2024. Their bearish outlook is driven by expectations of oversupply, with production growth surpassing demand growth by 485,000 barrels per day.
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Maritime trackers received new reports of an attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), adding to concerns about energy supplies after Saudi Arabia shut down a vital oil pipeline on Saturday.
A Kyiv-Warsaw train was struck near the Polish border, Ukraine's state railway firm said on Sunday. No passengers were injured. Ukrainian Railways said that the country's railways were facing systematic attacks for a second day and warned of widespread delays.
U.S. Central Command said 101 commercial vessels have been redirected in the Strait of Hormuz, while oil prices rose more than three per cent amid fresh regional attacks and supply concerns.
Swedes vote in an election on Sunday (13 September) that could see the far-right enter government for the first time if the country's right-wing parties can form a majority.
A Russian strike on a farm warehouse in Pryluky, north-central Ukraine, has killed at least three people, local police said. Meanwhile, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said an attack on a train near the Polish border was an attempt to intimidate Ukraine's allies.
A drone hit a petrol station in Ukraine's capital of Kyiv early on Tuesday, Mayor Vitali Klitschko said on the Telegram messaging app, adding that there was also a strike on warehouse facilities in another part of the city.
Every day since a torrent of mud and rocks destroyed a Nepal-China border crossing high up in the Himalayas last month, Arushi Gupta's parents have called and messaged their missing daughter hoping she somehow survived.
Foreign ministers of Cambodia and Thailand delivered opening statements on Tuesday at the first meeting of a UN arbitration process to resolve a long-running maritime dispute between the two Southeast Asian neighbours.
A federal judge has halted a Trump administration immigration policy that would have significantly changed how long foreign students, exchange visitors and international journalists can remain in the United States.
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has expressed cautious optimism about ongoing discussions with the United States regarding Greenland, signalling that Copenhagen believes a cooperative solution can be reached despite years of political tensions surrounding the strategic Arctic territory.
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