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The global centre of political gravity is increasingly moving from the Atlantic to the Pacific, a development with significant implications for the South Caucasus and Central Asia.
Özkaleli notes that Europe’s relative importance may be declining, but this does not necessarily diminish Eurasia’s geopolitical relevance.
“The fundamental rule of world politics remains balance of power,” he observes, emphasising that the United States alone cannot counter China’s rising influence, with its population of 1.5 billion and growing economic clout.
According to Özkaleli, the new U.S. National Security Strategy recognises China as a primary rival but no longer treats Russia as an outright adversary, creating space for potential cooperation between Washington and Moscow.
In this evolving context, Azerbaijan emerges as a pivotal actor. Özkaleli describes it as “the jewel of the crown” in Eurasia, situated at the intersection of global tectonic shifts in power.
Its diplomatic engagement with major powers, including cordial relations with China, positions the country as a strategic pivot in a region increasingly shaped by the interplay of rising and established powers.
Özkaleli characterises this period as a liminal phase or interregnum in world politics - the old order has ended, but the new one is still emerging, creating both opportunities and uncertainties for states in Eurasia and beyond.
Details of a reported draft memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran offer the clearest picture yet of how both sides plan to end months of conflict and move towards a longer-term settlement.
The U.S. and Iran say they have reached a deal to end their conflict, with an immediate ceasefire and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after the lifting of the U.S. naval blockade. Talks will continue over the next 60 days to finalise the agreement
A senior U.S. official said on Monday that the memorandum of understanding linked to the U.S.-Iran agreement had been signed by President Donald Trump, Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has told U.S. President Donald Trump that Israel does not consider itself bound by a Lebanon-related provision in an emerging agreement with Iran, according to Israeli officials.
Switzerland on Sunday rejected a referendum proposal to cap its population at 10 million, a projection showed, as voters prioritised economic stability and the country's ties with the European Union over immigration concerns.
Iran has said that reaching an agreement with the U.S. to end the war does not mean Tehran will overlook what it describes as war crimes committed against Iranians by Israel and the United States.
Uzbekistan and five partner countries have signed a protocol to further develop the CASCA+ railway corridor, a growing transport route linking Central Asia, the South Caucasus and Türkiye that provides an alternative connection between Asian and European markets.
An armed unmanned aerial vehicle crashed on a Black Sea beach in northern Türkiye on Sunday, prompting a security operation and the controlled detonation of its munitions.
Fighting in southern Lebanon eased on Monday after a U.S.-Iran agreement aimed at ending months of regional conflict was announced, although uncertainty remained over how the deal would be implemented on the ground.
United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk on Monday welcomed the newly announced peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, urging all parties to exercise restraint and work towards a lasting settlement.
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