Oil prices fell below the key $70 per barrel mark last week as increased output from OPEC+ eased supply concerns, while renewed U.S. tariff threats under President Donald Trump weighed on global demand expectations.
Brent crude settled at $68.60 per barrel on Friday, down 2% for the week, while West Texas Intermediate fell 2.3% to $66. Increased production from OPEC+ was a major factor, with the group’s June output rising by 220,000 barrels per day to 27.023 million bpd. The wider OPEC+ alliance raised production by 349,000 bpd to 41.56 million bpd.
OPEC maintained its 2025 demand forecast of 105.13 million bpd, expecting a 1.3 million bpd increase this year. However, analysts warn that stable demand alongside rising supply has deepened fears of a surplus, putting downward pressure on prices.
The mood was further affected after President Trump announced new 30% tariffs on all imports from the European Union, escalating trade tensions. The tariffs take effect on 1 August and add to existing sector-specific duties.
Neil Crosby, senior oil analyst at Sparta, said that macroeconomic concerns such as high U.S. inflation and trade frictions are weighing on prices. He expects oil to hover around the $70 mark unless more drastic events occur, noting geopolitical risks in Iran could push prices higher.
Osama Rizvi from Primary Vision noted that OPEC+ is producing above its quota by 830,000 bpd, while U.S. supply remains strong despite lower prices. Demand remains weak, as shown by rising U.S. distillate stockpiles during the summer driving season. He forecasts prices will stay mostly between $66 and $68 for the rest of the year.
Palash Jain, Middle East oil market expert at Facts Global Energy, said prices will continue to fluctuate within the $66 to $70 range. Although market fundamentals suggest upward pressure, Trump’s tariff threats keep a lid on any sharp price rises.
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Here's your AnewZ Daily Brief for 30 September 2026. These are the top five stories making headlines in Europe....
A Russian guided aerial bomb has struck an apartment building in Kharkiv, injuring 22 people, including children, according to the city’s mayor. The strike follows a day of near-continuous Russian attacks across Ukraine that killed at least five people.
The European Union's decision to simultaneously advance accession talks with Ukraine, Moldova, Montenegro and Albania marks its most ambitious enlargement effort in more than two decades.
U.S. President Donald Trump has denied reports that he offered Iran sanctions relief and access to frozen funds in exchange for nuclear concessions.
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has accused the U.S. and Israel of seeking to foment internal divisions in Iran after failing to defeat the country militarily, Iran's state news agency IRNA reported.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Monday that more than 8,000 North Korean troops are currently in Russia, with preparations under way to send another 10,000.
In the marshlands of Malluba in southern Azerbaijan, Kamil Mammadov follows a routine that has been passed down through generations. His family has worked with medicinal leeches for centuries, harvesting and breeding a species known as Hirudo orientalis, or the Caucasian medicinal leech.
Baku is hosting the second Azerbaijan International Investment Forum (AIIF 2026) and it’s attracting more interest this year, Azerbaijan’s Deputy Prime Minister told AnewZ. “The agenda is very impressive. More guests, more interest,” he said.
Warren Buffett has stepped down as chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, marking the end of one of the most influential leadership tenures in corporate history and completing a succession process that has been years in the making.
Nigerian billionaire Aliko Dangote launched Africa's biggest-ever share sale on Monday, opening the oil refinery that has remade the country's fuel market to public ownership for the first time.
Volkswagen’s supervisory board has approved a major overhaul aimed at cutting 100,000 jobs by 2030 as the German carmaker battles weaker sales, falling profits and intensifying global competition.
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