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The world is likely to experience record-breaking temperatures through 2029, with the Arctic expected to warm at more than three times the global average, the UN weather agency warned in a new report.
The next five years are set to bring more record heat, with Arctic regions warming at over three times the global rate, according to a new report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released Wednesday.
The agency estimates there’s an 80% chance that at least one year between now and 2029 will break existing global temperature records. It also warns there's a strong likelihood that average global warming will temporarily exceed the key 1.5°C threshold set by the 2015 Paris Agreement.
Last year already marked a dangerous milestone as it became the hottest on record and the first to breach the Paris accord’s temperature limit. Between 2025 and 2029, the global near-surface temperature is forecast to be between 1.2°C and 1.9°C higher than pre-industrial levels (1850–1900).
“Every additional fraction of a degree brings more damage—more intense heatwaves, stronger storms, longer droughts, accelerated ice melt, and rising sea levels,” the WMO said in a statement.
The Arctic is expected to see the most severe impact, with winter temperatures over the next five years forecast to be about 2.4°C above the most recent 30-year average, accelerating the melting of sea ice and glaciers in both the Arctic and northwest Pacific regions.
While global temperatures are expected to hover near record highs, regional shifts in precipitation are also predicted. Wetter-than-usual conditions are likely in parts of the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia from May through September over the next five years. Meanwhile, the Amazon basin is forecast to face drier-than-average conditions.
The WMO’s warning comes amid growing concern from scientists and climate advocates that the world is drifting further from its environmental commitments—while the consequences of inaction become more visible each year.
A powerful eruption at Japan’s Shinmoedake volcano sent an ash plume more than 3,000 metres high on Sunday morning, prompting safety warnings from authorities.
According to the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), a magnitude 5.7 earthquake struck the Oaxaca region of Mexico on Saturday.
The UK is gearing up for Exercise Pegasus 2025, its largest pandemic readiness test since COVID-19. Running from September to November, this full-scale simulation will challenge the country's response to a fast-moving respiratory outbreak.
Kuwait says oil prices will likely stay below $72 per barrel as OPEC monitors global supply trends and U.S. policy signals. The remarks come during market uncertainty fueled by new U.S. tariffs on India and possible sanctions on Russia.
Wind farm developer Orsted's plan to raise much-needed capital is at risk following a U.S. order to halt construction of a near-complete project, and the Danish group's share price could come under pressure on Monday, analysts said.
Brazil’s government has ruled out subsidising hotel costs for delegates attending the COP30 climate summit in Belém this November, despite growing concerns over soaring accommodation prices.
Spain is still battling massive wildfires, but cooler weather has given firefighters a much-needed boost in their fight against the flames.
A Portuguese firefighter was severely injured on Thursday after flames suddenly engulfed his fire engine during a wildfire sweeping through central and northern Portugal.
A study published in Nature on Thursday highlights that the rapid decline of Antarctic sea ice may represent a crucial tipping point for the global climate.
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