The world is likely to experience record-breaking temperatures through 2029, with the Arctic expected to warm at more than three times the global average, the UN weather agency warned in a new report.
The next five years are set to bring more record heat, with Arctic regions warming at over three times the global rate, according to a new report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) released Wednesday.
The agency estimates there’s an 80% chance that at least one year between now and 2029 will break existing global temperature records. It also warns there's a strong likelihood that average global warming will temporarily exceed the key 1.5°C threshold set by the 2015 Paris Agreement.
Last year already marked a dangerous milestone as it became the hottest on record and the first to breach the Paris accord’s temperature limit. Between 2025 and 2029, the global near-surface temperature is forecast to be between 1.2°C and 1.9°C higher than pre-industrial levels (1850–1900).
“Every additional fraction of a degree brings more damage—more intense heatwaves, stronger storms, longer droughts, accelerated ice melt, and rising sea levels,” the WMO said in a statement.
The Arctic is expected to see the most severe impact, with winter temperatures over the next five years forecast to be about 2.4°C above the most recent 30-year average, accelerating the melting of sea ice and glaciers in both the Arctic and northwest Pacific regions.
While global temperatures are expected to hover near record highs, regional shifts in precipitation are also predicted. Wetter-than-usual conditions are likely in parts of the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia from May through September over the next five years. Meanwhile, the Amazon basin is forecast to face drier-than-average conditions.
The WMO’s warning comes amid growing concern from scientists and climate advocates that the world is drifting further from its environmental commitments—while the consequences of inaction become more visible each year.
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Russia has launched its new nuclear-powered submarine, the Khabarovsk, at the Sevmash shipyard in Severodvinsk, the Defence Ministry said Saturday.
Russia has condemned the United States for using what it called excessive military force during counter-narcotics operations in the Caribbean, saying the actions breach both U.S. and international law.
At least 21 people have been killed and more than 30 are missing after a landslide struck Kenya’s Elgeyo Marakwet East region in the Rift Valley following days of heavy rain, authorities said.
Germany’s defence minister Boris Pistorius says he is confident the coalition will back his new voluntary military service model in time for it to take effect next year, citing the security threat from Russia and NATO demands.
Reports from CNN say the Pentagon has approved the provision of long range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine after assessing its impact on U.S. stockpiles, while leaving the ultimate decision to President Trump.
Tanzanian police fired tear gas and live rounds on Thursday to disperse protesters in Dar es Salaam and other cities, a day after a disputed election marked by violence and claims of political repression, witnesses said.
Ukraine’s top military commander has confirmed that troops are facing “difficult conditions” defending the strategic eastern town of Pokrovsk against a multi-thousand Russian force.
Residents of Hoi An, Vietnam’s UNESCO-listed ancient town, began cleaning up on Saturday as floodwaters receded following days of torrential rain that brought deadly flooding and widespread destruction to the central region.
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The UN Secretary-General, António Guterres, warned on Tuesday that humanity has failed to limit global warming to 1.5°C and must take urgent action.
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Billionaire investor and philanthropist Bill Gates called on world leaders on Tuesday to adapt to extreme weather and focus on improving health outcomes rather than temperature reduction targets ahead of the COP30 climate talks in Brazil.
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