Finance ministers across East Africa unveiled their 2026/27 budgets on Thursday, as investors assessed how governments plan to protect their economies from shocks linked to the ongoing Iran war while managing rising debt levels.
Kenya’s finance minister warned that global geopolitical tensions could limit efforts to reduce the fiscal deficit, while Uganda’s minister projected a return to double-digit growth, buoyed by the expected start of oil production.
The region is highly exposed to trade disruptions caused by the conflict, given its reliance on imported fuel and fertilisers. This prompted the African Development Bank to lower the regional growth forecast for 2026 from 5.3% to 5%.
Kenya set a budget deficit target of 5.5% for the current fiscal year, aiming to reduce it gradually to 3% by 2028/29. Finance Minister John Mbadi noted that both domestic and external risks could undermine these targets: climate shocks affecting agriculture and infrastructure, commodity price volatility, weaker global growth, and tighter financial conditions.
Recent protests over high fuel prices and repeated underperformance against budget targets have heightened investor scrutiny. Andrew Matheny, senior economist at Goldman Sachs, said investors will seek evidence of credible fiscal measures, such as spending cuts or realistic revenue plans.
Uganda raised its budget by 3.5%, with Finance Minister Henry Musasizi forecasting 10.2% growth in the new fiscal year, driven by the start of commercial oil production. He said the expansion would create jobs, raise household incomes, and generate resources to invest in education, healthcare, infrastructure, security and other public services.
Tanzania plans to prioritise domestic revenue collection, following a decline in aid from wealthier nations and rising debt pressures. Finance Minister Mussa Omar said this required accelerating efforts toward economic self-reliance.
The government expects growth to rise to 6.3% this year, up from 5.9% last year, with potential opportunities arising from the Iran war. Planning Minister Kitila Mkumbo highlighted prospects for transhipment services and investment in gas production, as investors seek alternatives to the Gulf region.
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Flights at Catania airport in Sicily will remain suspended until early Friday as ash from Mount Etna continues to disrupt air travel, following hundreds of cancellations and diversions over the past week.
Iran says the Strait of Hormuz remains under its control, rejecting U.S. President Donald Trump’s claim of “total control” over the strategic waterway and insisting it will not reopen until Washington fulfils its commitments under an interim deal.
Iran and the United States remain at loggerheads over efforts to agree a permanent end to the war in the Gulf, according to a senior Iranian source who said there had been no progress in talks to revive the interim deal agreed in June and define a timeframe to implement it.
Russia has accused Ukraine of threatening global grain supplies after recent strikes on Black Sea agricultural infrastructure, while Moscow carried out a new overnight attack on Ukraine’s major Danube port of Izmail.
The U.S. will impose unprecedented measures on Iran in order to economically isolate the country, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said.
Iran and Afghanistan are seeking closer cooperation in agriculture, livestock and irrigation during a three-day Iranian ministerial visit to Kabul, as both sides look to strengthen trade and rural economies.
At least 437 civilians were killed and 2,610 injured in Ukraine in July, according to UN investigators, marking the highest monthly civilian casualty toll since March 2022.
Record rainfall in Japan killed eight people and stranded thousands of travellers at Tokyo's Narita Airport on Friday, as flooding disrupted transport and cut power to 20,000 homes.
Start your day informed with AnewZ Morning Brief. Here are the top news stories for the 14th of August, covering the latest developments.
Ukraine’s attacks on Russian ports, refineries and shipping infrastructure are putting Moscow’s energy exports under growing pressure and disrupting key trade routes, raising concerns over commercial shipping and global food supplies.
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