Thailand's Bhumjaithai party set for coalition talks after strong surprise election win

Thailand's Bhumjaithai party set for coalition talks after strong surprise election win
Thailand’s caretaker PM and Bhumjaithai Party leader Anutin Charnvirakul Bhumjaithai speaks at the party headquarters on election day in Bangkok, Thailand, 8 February, 2026.
Reuters

Thailand faced a realignment of conservative politics on Monday (9 February) after Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul's Bhumjaithai Party won a stronger-than-expected general election victory.

With 94% of votes counted, the Bhumjaithai party was way ahead of its rivals after Sunday's vote, securing 193 of the 500 seats in Thailand's parliament, according to Reuters' calculations based on election commission data.

The election result sent Thai stocks up by around 3%, hitting their highest level in more than a year as the risks of further political instability receded.  

The People's Party, which led some polls in the run-up to the vote, trailed on 118, with the Pheu Thai Party third with 74.

A handful of other parties won a combined 115 spots in the 500-seat parliament, but the final number of party list seats could change under Thailand's proportional electoral system.

Charnvirakul called the election in December after less than 100 days in office, and has sought to capitalise on a wave of nationalism generated by Thailand's three-week conflict with Cambodia in December. He described the election result as "a victory for all Thais".    

He received 30.2% of the constituency votes, with analysts saying it consolidated the conservative vote after the surge in nationalist fervour, and took a string of seats from the once dominant Pheu Thai, controlled by the billionaire Shinawatra family. 

Charnvirakul promises Cambodia border wall

Asked about forming a coalition, Charnvirakul said in a Monday news broadcast that he wanted to form a government with a strong majority but he was still waiting to see the final election results.

Underscoring the role that nationalism played in the vote, Charnvirakul also vowed to build a wall along Thailand's border with Cambodia and strengthen the military.

"I will still have to build the wall. I must keep strengthening the military's capabilities. I believe Thai soldiers can win against anyone. And I still believe we need to keep the border checkpoints closed, not open them," he said.

The prime minister previously indicated that if he was re-elected, the incumbent ministers of finance, foreign affairs and commerce would retain their roles in a new cabinet. 

Voters back constitutional change

The left-leaning People's Party has already ruled out the possibility of joining a coalition led by Charnvirakul, with its leader Natthaphong Rueangpanyawut saying late on Sunday that it would not seek to form a rival coalition.

Polls at the end of January had the People's Party significantly ahead of Bhumjaithai, but analysts said the surge in nationalism provoked by the Cambodia conflict favoured the conservatives.

It is expected to take at least two years to implement the new constitution, with two more referendums required to endorse the drafting process and the final text.   

Tags