A potential Ukraine ceasefire and the associated easing in sanctions on Russia are unlikely to substantially increase Russia's oil flows, Goldman Sachs said on Wednesday.
U.S. President Donald Trump's administration said on Tuesday it had agreed to hold more talks with Russia on ending the war in Ukraine.
"We believe that Russia crude oil production is constrained by its OPEC+ 9.0 million barrels per day (mbpd) production target rather than current sanctions, which are affecting the destination but not the volume of oil exports," Goldman Sachs said.
OPEC+, a grouping of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries along with Russia and other allies, pumps about half the world's oil.
The bank assumes that OPEC+ is likely to postpone its planned gradual ramp-up in oil production to July this year from April, on increased compliance with OPEC+ targets by Russia and several other OPEC+ producers, as well as continued uncertainty surrounding U.S. policy.
OPEC+ pushed the plan to begin raising output to April, extending its latest layer of cuts through the first quarter of 2025 in December due to weak demand and rising supply outside the group.
On Monday, Russia's RIA state news agency reported Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak saying that OPEC+ producers were not considering further delays in the monthly oil supply increases.
Russia, as one of the world's top oil suppliers, holds substantial sway over global oil markets and prices.
Goldman Sachs continues to expect potential recoveries in positioning and valuation to nudge Brent up to $79 per barrel later this month.
Brent crude prices were trading at about $76 a barrel as of 0537 GMT on Wednesday.
Russian President Vladimir Putin criticized the recent U.S. airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities as unjustified and warned they are driving the world toward heightened instability. He met with Iran’s foreign minister in Moscow, offering support while calling for efforts to ease tensions.
Italy has frozen Russian oligarchs' assets worth €2.3 billion ($2.6 billion) since the 2022 Ukraine invasion, as part of European Union sanctions, with additional seizures targeting Iranian-linked companies accused of aiding Moscow.
Iran's top diplomat has travelled to Moscow with a message from Supreme Leader Khamenei, seeking greater support from Russia after the most significant U.S. military action against Iran in decades.
Overnight Russian drone and missile attacks on Kyiv killed at least six people, injured dozens, and damaged residential buildings and a metro station serving as a bomb shelter, Ukrainian officials said.
Senior Russian officials have condemned the United States’ recent military strikes on Iran, warning of a spiralling regional conflict and accusing U.S. President Donald Trump of igniting a "new war" that could backfire by strengthening Iran's leadership.
Three powerful explosions were reported early Tuesday at Al-Taji military base, about 30 kilometers north of Baghdad.
Three explosions were heard in Tehran early Tuesday, shortly after the Israeli army issued an evacuation alert for the city’s Seventh District, warning of possible strikes..
U.S. President Donald Trump says Iran and Israel have agreed to a complete ceasefire that will end the 12-day war between the two countries.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met in London on Monday and signed a new agreement aimed at increasing Ukraine’s production of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
U.S. President Donald Trump today celebrated a potential turning point in regional tensions, declaring "CONGRATULATIONS WORLD, IT’S TIME FOR PEACE!" in a post on Truth Social.
Iran launched 18 ballistic missiles late Sunday targeting the U.S. military’s Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar, the largest American installation in the Middle East.
Iranian missiles struck multiple locations across Israel and neighbouring regions early Friday morning, including a Microsoft office complex, according to emergency responders and local media reports.
A high-speed tram derailment in central Gothenburg, Sweden, has left at least eight people injured late on Thursday (19 June), after the vehicle slammed into a snack bar on Avenyn Avenue.
China has unveiled a mosquito-sized bionic drone designed for covert military operations and battlefield reconnaissance, marking a major advance in micro-robotics and stealth technology as part of the country’s growing focus on next-generation warfare capabilities.
Wizz Air has suspended all flights to and from Tel Aviv, Israel, and its European services to Amman, Jordan, effective immediately until 15 September due to escalating situation in the Middle East. Also, the air carrier temporarily suspended its flights between Astana, Kazakhstan, and Abu Dhabi.
Iran launched 18 ballistic missiles late Sunday targeting the U.S. military’s Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar, the largest American installation in the Middle East.
An Azerbaijani delegation attended the opening ceremony of the 30th Shanghai Television Festival, one of Asia’s most prestigious media events, held in China’s Shanghai city on June 23.
The U.S. Embassy in Qatar has advised American citizens to shelter in place amid rising tensions between Israel and Iran, as part of a broader global security alert issued by Washington.
Uzbekistan’s President Shavkat Mirziyoyev will pay a state visit to Mongolia on 24-25 June at the invitation of Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh, aiming to strengthen bilateral relations and cooperation.
Iran has doubled its diplomatic efforts to fight back the military attacks by Israel and the US on its nuclear sites as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi arrived in Moscow on Monday for high-level talks with the Russian officials.
Three powerful explosions were reported early Tuesday at Al-Taji military base, about 30 kilometers north of Baghdad.
Three explosions were heard in Tehran early Tuesday, shortly after the Israeli army issued an evacuation alert for the city’s Seventh District, warning of possible strikes..
U.S. President Donald Trump says Iran and Israel have agreed to a complete ceasefire that will end the 12-day war between the two countries.
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met in London on Monday and signed a new agreement aimed at increasing Ukraine’s production of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).
U.S. President Donald Trump today celebrated a potential turning point in regional tensions, declaring "CONGRATULATIONS WORLD, IT’S TIME FOR PEACE!" in a post on Truth Social.
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