IEA projects steady growth in Kazakhstan's oil output by 2025

Kazakhstan’s oil production is on an upward trajectory, with output expected to reach 2.08 million barrels per day (mb/d) by 2025, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The latest revision raises the forecast by 0.06 mb/d, signaling sustained growth in the nation’s energy sector.

Kazakhstan’s oil production is on an upward trajectory, with output expected to reach 2.08 million barrels per day (mb/d) by 2025, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). The latest revision raises the forecast by 0.06 mb/d, signaling sustained growth in the nation’s energy sector.

Quarterly Projections for 2025

The IEA predicts steady growth in Kazakhstan’s oil output throughout 2025:

Q1 2025: 2.02 mb/d
Q2 2025: 2.06 mb/d
Q3 2025: 2.09 mb/d

Performance in 2024 and 2023

For 2024, the country’s oil production is expected to average 1.9 mb/d. However, a slight decline is projected towards the end of the year, from 1.89 mb/d in Q3 to 1.85 mb/d in Q4.

In 2023, Kazakhstan’s average oil output stood at 1.93 mb/d—a 0.11 mb/d increase compared to 2022. Total production for the year reached 90 million tons, reflecting a 6.9% rise year-on-year.

Ambitious Long-Term Goals

Kazakhstan aims to continue boosting production levels in the coming years. By 2025, the target is 97.2 million tons, with an ambitious plan to achieve 104.8 million tons by 2029.

These figures underscore Kazakhstan’s growing role in global energy markets, as the country capitalizes on its vast hydrocarbon resources to meet rising global demand.

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