If the European Central Bank adjusts interest rates in the next six months, the move would likely be a cut, ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Thursday.
Speaking at the European University Institute in Italy, Villeroy said that barring a major external shock - including possible new military developments in the Middle East - any policy change by the ECB would likely aim to further accommodate growth.
The ECB this month signalled a pause in policy easing, even as projections show inflation dipping below its 2% target, reviving concerns about a return to ultra-low inflation.
Oil prices have surged 7% after Israeli strikes on Iran triggered missile retaliation. Villeroy, who is also governor of the Bank of France, said the ECB would watch closely for energy price spillovers into broader inflation trends.
He noted that the euro’s recent strength helps cushion the impact of rising oil prices: a 10% euro appreciation offsets the inflationary effect of a 10 euro oil price rise.
Market pricing now suggests a greater risk of euro zone inflation undershooting the ECB’s 2% target. ECB forecasts see inflation falling below 2% in Q2 this year and returning to target by 2027, aided by a new emissions trading system.
"In such a context, we need to remain alert and agile in all our next meetings," Villeroy added.
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Russia and China’s foreign ministers held talks in Beijing, focusing on their respective relations with the United States and exploring possible solutions to the conflict in Ukraine, according to statements from both countries' foreign ministries.
U.S. shoppers spent a record $24.1 billion online between 8 and 11 July as 'Black Friday-in-summer' discounts sparked a 30 % year-on-year jump, according to Adobe Analytics.
Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang will brief reporters in Beijing on Wednesday, 16 July, his second China trip this year, as Washington’s export bans squeeze the graphics-chip maker’s biggest foreign market.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi agreed in Beijing on Sunday to tighten coordination in forums from the United Nations to the G20, while reviewing prospects for ending the war in Ukraine and managing strained ties with the United States.
A series of earthquakes have struck Guatemala on Tuesday afternoon, leading authorities to advise residents to evacuate from buildings as a precaution against possible aftershocks.
A deadly mass shooting early on Monday (7 July) in Philadelphia's Grays Ferry neighbourhood left three men dead and nine others wounded, including teenagers, as more than 100 shots were fired.
Australian researchers have created a groundbreaking “biological AI” platform that could revolutionise drug discovery by rapidly evolving molecules within mammalian cells.
Dozens of international and domestic flights were cancelled or delayed after Mount Lewotobi Laki Laki erupted on Monday, but Bali’s main airport remains operational.
French member of parliament Olivier Marleix was found dead at his home on Monday, with suicide being considered a possible cause.
U.S. shoppers spent a record $24.1 billion online between 8 and 11 July as 'Black Friday-in-summer' discounts sparked a 30 % year-on-year jump, according to Adobe Analytics.
According to a Wall Street Journal report on Saturday, SpaceX is investing $2 billion into xAI as part of a broader $5 billion equity funding round, strengthening the connection between Elon Musk’s various ventures.
European shares dropped on Friday after President Donald Trump intensified tariff threats against the EU, casting doubt on trade talks and dampening investor confidence.
Turkmenistan has gathered 1.407 million tonnes of wheat, matching its 2025 goal after a round-the-clock harvest on 690,000 hectares that officials say was bolstered by new combines and higher state purchase prices.
Azerbaijan Railways CJSC signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the Chinese company 'Xi'an Free Trade Port Construction and Operation' and has opened its representative office and container terminal in the Xi'an International Port.
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