Oil prices fell for the first time in three weeks, with expectations mounting that OPEC+ will raise production in July, Bloomberg reported.
Oil markets ended the week lower, with Brent crude dipping near $64 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) falling below $61. Bloomberg attributes the decline to signals that OPEC+ may approve a production increase of 411,000 barrels per day at its upcoming 1 June meeting.
The potential supply boost comes amid ongoing concerns about a global surplus and weakening demand, particularly as commercial stockpiles in the U.S. continue to rise. Brent and WTI have both lost roughly 2% this week, marking oil’s first weekly drop in nearly a month.
Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect OPEC+ to maintain its recent shift toward prioritising market share over prices, after easing output cuts faster than anticipated earlier this year. Oil prices have already fallen around 14% since January, touching their lowest levels since 2021.
Geopolitical uncertainty remains a factor. Talks between Iran and the U.S. over Tehran’s nuclear programme continue, while tensions flared midweek over reports that Israel may target Iranian facilities. Meanwhile, the EU is considering lowering its price cap on Russian crude from $60 to $50 a barrel, citing reduced market impact from the current limit.
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Oil prices rose on Monday after the United States clinched a trade deal with the European Union and may extend a tariff pause with China, relieving concerns that higher levies could have hurt economic activity and limited fuel demand.
Oil prices fell below the key $70 per barrel mark last week as increased output from OPEC+ eased supply concerns, while renewed U.S. tariff threats under President Donald Trump weighed on global demand expectations.
Oil prices edged higher on Friday, heading for a small weekly loss, as investors weighed new European Union sanctions against Russia.
Oil prices climbed on Wednesday, maintaining their highest levels since 23 June, lifted by recent attacks on shipping in the Red Sea, along with concerns over steep U.S. tariffs on copper and a forecast for lower U.S. oil production.
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