IMF Approves Third Review of Sri Lanka's $2.9bn Bailout

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved the third review of Sri Lanka's $2.9 billion bailout on Saturday but warned that the South Asian economy remains vulnerable. In a statement, the global lender confirmed it would release approximately $333 million, bringing the total funding to around $1.3 billion, as signs of an economic recovery emerge.

However, Sri Lanka must still complete a $12.5 billion bondholder debt restructuring and a $10 billion debt rework with bilateral creditors, including Japan, China, and India, to progress with the programme, according to the IMF. The bailout, secured in March of the previous year, helped stabilise the economy after Sri Lanka plunged into its worst financial crisis in over seven decades in 2022.

Maintaining tax revenue and continuing reforms of state-owned enterprises will be critical in achieving the primary surplus target of 2.3% of GDP next year, said IMF Senior Mission Chief Peter Breuer, concluding his delegation’s visit to the capital, Colombo. "The authorities have committed to staying within the guardrails of the programme," Breuer stated. "We have agreed on a package for them to achieve their priorities and objectives and, as soon as that is submitted to parliament, the fourth review process will proceed."

Sri Lanka's new president, Anura Kumara Dissanayake, announced this week that an interim budget would be presented to parliament in December. He hopes to complete the debt restructuring by the end of December.

During the crisis, a severe dollar shortage sent inflation soaring to 70%, the currency plummeted to record lows, and the economy contracted by 7.3% at its worst, followed by a 2.3% decline last year. Recently, the rupee has risen by 11.3%, and inflation has disappeared, with prices falling by 0.8% last month.

The World Bank forecasts Sri Lanka’s economy will grow by 4.4% this year, marking the first increase in three years.