The Strait of Hormuz remains a vital maritime chokepoint and serves as the primary artery linking the Persian Gulf to international energy markets. With approximately 20% of global oil and gas shipments transiting this waterway, it is the backbone of energy security for Asia, Europe, and beyond.
Geopolitical deadlock remains the primary driver of market activity on Monday. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed for its 11th week, the breakdown in diplomatic talks between Washington and Tehran has sent energy prices climbing and strengthened the U.S. dollar as a liquidity safe haven.
The continued closure of the world’s most strategic maritime chokepoint, has pushed prices toward psychological resistance levels.
Brent Crude: Rose 4.3% to $105.47 per barrel.
U.S. Crude (WTI): Climbed 4.7% to $99.92 per barrel.
Analysts at JPMorgan warn that while current prices are a "headwind," the market will enter a period of "operational stress" by June if the blockade persists.
The U.S. dollar has benefited from its status as the primary global liquidity currency during times of high-intensity conflict.
USD/JPY: The dollar rose 0.33% to 157.16. Japan is banking on a hawkish Bank of Japan and support from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to curb the yen's weakness.
EUR/USD: The euro slipped 0.24% to $1.1757, reflecting Europe's vulnerability as a major energy importer.
Gold: Despite the crisis, gold fell 0.5% to $4,690 an ounce, as investors prioritised cash over traditional hedges.
While broader global indices showed signs of instability, specific sectors in Asia managed to post significant gains.
South Korea (KOSPI): Jumped 4%, led by heavy gains in artificial-intelligence-linked chipmakers.
China (CSI300): Rose 1.4%, even as data showed producer prices hitting a 45-month high due to energy costs.
Japan (Nikkei): Fell 0.36%, erasing earlier gains as the cost of energy imports weighed on sentiment.
U.S. Futures: S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures edged down slightly (0.1% and 0.05%) following record highs last week.
The conflict: War broke out in late February between Iran and the U.S.-led alliance.
The standoff: President Trump has rejected Tehran’s counter-proposal, which demanded an end to the war, lifting of sanctions, reparations, and formal recognition of their control over the waterway.
The next move: Global attention turns to the upcoming meeting between President Trump and President Xi Jinping in China. Gulf security, trade, and artificial intelligence (AI) are expected to dominate the discussion.
Supply Risk: The 11-week closure of the Strait is now the dominant factor in price formation.
Inflationary Pressure: Rising energy costs are manifesting in Chinese producer and consumer inflation data.
Regional Vulnerability: Japan and Europe are the most economically exposed due to their reliance on oil imports.
Liquidity Preference: Markets are currently favouring the U.S. dollar over gold as a risk-off asset.
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Iran’s army said it targeted U.S. military facilities in Bahrain and Kuwait with drone attacks. Tehran said the operations were carried out in retaliation for recent U.S. strikes.
The U.S. military said it completed its latest wave of strikes on Iran, a two-hour operation that hit dozens of targets. Washington described the strikes as a "powerful response" to Iranian missile attacks targeting U.S. forces in the Middle East a day earlier.
French DJ and electropop musician Kavinsky, whose atmospheric sound shaped a generation of electronic music fans, has died at the age of 50, French authorities said on Tuesday.
Saudi Arabia said its overnight strikes on Iran-backed group targets in Iraq were carried out in self-defence and warned it would take further military action if the groups launched new attacks against the kingdom.
The U.S. military said it completed its latest wave of strikes on Iran, a two-hour operation that hit dozens of targets. Washington described the strikes as a "powerful response" to Iranian missile attacks targeting U.S. forces in the Middle East a day earlier.
A fire involving two gas vessels at Egypt's Damietta port has prompted conflicting reports over whether the incident was caused by a drone strike or an onboard technical fault. Egyptian authorities said there were no casualties.
Thousands of migrants have crossed into the Spanish exclave of Ceuta from Morocco, overwhelming border security and prompting local authorities to call for a national emergency and military deployment.
Ford raised its full-year earnings forecast after reporting stronger-than-expected second-quarter adjusted profit, as resilient demand for its vehicles and operational improvements helped offset tariff-related costs.
SK Hynix reported record quarterly profit on Wednesday, but its shares slumped 10 per cent after the South Korean chipmaker fell short of investor expectations built around the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.
Oil prices have fallen more than six per cent as a pause in U.S.-Iran hostilities eased fears of wider supply disruption around the Gulf.
Paramount Skydance agreed to pause its acquisition of Warner Bros Discovery until after a ruling on a challenge by states to the deal, plunging the $110 billion deal into further uncertainty.
China's Foreign Ministry has said it is closely ​monitoring the United Kingdom's nationalisation ‌of British Steel. Prior to the British government fully taking over the loss-making company on Thursday, it was previously owned by Chinese private steelmaker Jingye.Â
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