Moscow, India, others rally behind Afghanistan amidst Bagram airbase tussle
The 7th Moscow Format Consultations on Afghanistan has concluded in Russia with participants issuing a joint statement heavily hinting at a joint oppo...
U.S. retail sales in February edged up by 0.2% as consumers pulled back on discretionary spending, signaling cautious optimism amid a broader economic backdrop marked by tariffs and federal workforce cuts.
The Commerce Department’s Census Bureau report on Monday painted a mixed picture: while overall retail activity improved slightly, spending at restaurants and bars fell, reflecting more guarded consumer behavior.
"This report should alleviate concerns that the economy already is shrinking," said Samuel Tombs, chief U.S. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. However, he warned that the risk of much weaker growth remains elevated, as consumers might seek to rebuild their savings in response to uncertainties over job security.
The report indicated that retail sales, which largely reflect goods and are not adjusted for inflation, rose by 0.2% in February. This modest rebound followed a downwardly revised 1.2% decline in January—a period marked by robust fourth-quarter gains and weather disruptions including winter storms and wildfires in California. Year-on-year, sales increased by 3.1%, bolstered by a 2.4% jump in online store receipts and a 1.7% rise at health and personal care outlets.
However, the gains were not uniform across sectors. Sales at building material and garden equipment suppliers increased by 0.2%, while auto dealership receipts fell 0.4% after a steep 3.7% drop in January. Furniture store sales remained flat, clothing store receipts dipped 0.6%, and electronic retailers saw a 0.3% decline. The services segment fared worse; food services and drinking places registered a 1.5% drop, and lower gasoline prices contributed to a 1.0% decrease in sales at service stations.
Discretionary spending appears to be softening. Bank of America card data for the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area—encompassing parts of Maryland and Virginia—showed early signs of reduced spending at restaurants. With consumer sentiment sinking to a near 2-1/2-year low in March, many analysts expect that consumer spending could weaken further in the coming months.
Economic headwinds also loom from President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which have sparked a trade war, and from mass layoffs of public workers as the Trump administration pursues a campaign to shrink the federal workforce. Retailers such as Kohl's, Macy's, Walmart, and Target have already tempered their sales expectations amid mounting inflation and recession fears.
On the monetary policy front, U.S. Treasury yields rose while the dollar slipped against a basket of currencies. Federal Reserve officials, meeting later this week, are expected to keep the overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range. The Fed has trimmed rates by 100 basis points since September, and financial markets anticipate that the central bank may resume cutting borrowing costs in June, following a pause in its easing cycle that began in January.
Looking at the core retail segment—excluding volatile categories such as automobiles, gasoline, building materials, and food services—sales rose by 1.0% in February after a revised 1.0% decline in January. These core sales are closely linked to consumer spending in gross domestic product calculations, and economists had forecast a rebound of 0.3% following a previously reported 0.8% drop in January. Despite the modest gains, expectations are that consumer spending will slow significantly in the first quarter compared to the robust 4.2% annualized growth observed in the fourth quarter, when the economy expanded at a 2.3% pace.
The Atlanta Federal Reserve forecasts GDP could contract by 2.4% this quarter, although most economists are converging on a growth rate of around 1.2%. As the economy navigates these challenges, the underlying trend in retail sales appears firm, even as cautious consumers adjust their spending in response to an uncertain economic landscape.
Video from the USGS (United States Geological Survey) showed on Friday (19 September) the Kilauea volcano in Hawaii erupting and spewing lava.
At least eight people have died and more than 90 others were injured following a catastrophic gas tanker explosion on a major highway in Mexico City’s Iztapalapa district on Wednesday, authorities confirmed.
At least 69 people have died and almost 150 injured following a powerful 6.9-magnitude earthquake off the coast of Cebu City in the central Visayas region of the Philippines, officials said, making it one of the country’s deadliest disasters this year.
A powerful 7.4-magnitude earthquake struck off Russia’s Kamchatka Peninsula on 13 September with no tsunami threat, coming just weeks after the region endured a devastating 8.8-magnitude quake — the strongest since 1952.
Authorities in California have identified the dismembered body discovered in a Tesla registered to singer D4vd as 15-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, who had been missing from Lake Elsinore since April 2024.
Escalating gang violence in Haiti has displaced 680,000 children, nearly twice as many as last year, as armed groups seize more territory and basic services collapse, UNICEF warned on Wednesday.
A 29-year-old man has been arrested in connection with a devastating wildfire that killed 12 people and destroyed thousands of homes in Los Angeles earlier this year.
The 7th Moscow Format Consultations on Afghanistan has concluded in Russia with participants issuing a joint statement heavily hinting at a joint opposition to any foreign military infrastructure in Afghanistan.
Former FBI Director James Comey pleaded not guilty on Wednesday to criminal charges, and his lawyer said he would file a barrage of legal challenges to the first prosecution by the Justice Department against one of President Donald Trump's political enemies.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is expected to attend a ministerial meeting in Paris on Thursday with representatives of Europe, the Arab world and other nations to discuss Gaza's post-conflict transition, according to three diplomatic sources.
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