Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a very small chance of hitting Earth, as new observations showed that it has been downgraded to "No Hazard" Level on the Torino impact scale, a tool for categorizing the impact hazard associated with near-Earth objects such as asteroids and comets.
NASA has significantly lowered the risk of near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 as an impact threat to Earth for the foreseeable future. Meanwhile, there is still a very small chance for the asteroid to impact the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032, and that probability is currently 1.7%.
"Experts at NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory’s (JPL’s) Center for Near-Earth Object Studies were able to calculate more precise models of the asteroid’s trajectory and now have found there is no significant potential for this asteroid to impact our planet for the next century," - US Space Administraiton stated.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 was first discovered on December 27, 2024. Since then, astronomers have been closely monitoring its trajectory, as initial observations indicated a roughly 1% chance of a collision with Earth on December 22, 2032.
The European Space Agency (ECA) stated that for asteroids larger than 30 metres in size, 2024 YR4 held the record for the highest impact probability reached, and the longest time spent with an impact probability greater than 1%.
Follow-up observations briefly raised the likelihood of an impact, with the probability reaching 3.1%. This led to the asteroid being considered the most dangerous space object tracked to date
"Thanks to new observations, Earth is now at the edge of our shrinking ‘uncertainty window.’ If this trend continues, the risk may soon reach 0%," - ECA has reported.
The probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 might impact Earth on 22 December 2032 has dropped from 2.8% to 1.4% to 0.16% in just a couple of days. Asteroid 2024 YR4 has an almost 99% chance of safely passing Earth.
NASA estimates that the space rock has a 0.0017% chance of hitting Earth in December 2032
"NASA will continue to observe asteroid 2024 YR4 with observatories funded by its Planetary Defense Coordination Office, and NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope will observe the asteroid in March to further gain insights about its size for scientific purposes" - US space agency stated.
NASA astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams completed an unexpectedly long 286-day mission on the ISS, returning to Earth aboard a SpaceX capsule after delays caused by technical issues with Boeing’s Starliner.
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Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa appointed Cynthia Gellibert, Secretary General of Public Administration, as interim vice president on Saturday, replacing elected Vice President Veronica Abad
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U.S. Vice President JD Vance on Friday accused Denmark of failing to adequately protect Greenland and suggested the U.S. would be better suited to secure the semi-autonomous Danish territory. His remarks come as President Donald Trump continues to advocate for a U.S. takeover of Greenland.
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The model aims to enhance Alibaba’s presence in the generative AI sector and is available as open-source.
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South Korea, China, and Japan held their first economic dialogue in five years on Sunday, aiming to strengthen regional trade cooperation amid growing concerns over U.S. tariffs under President Donald Trump.
Rescue workers were seen rappelling into the rubble of a collapsed building in Bangkok on Sunday (March 30), as 47 people remained missing or trapped under the debris, including workers from Myanmar.
Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa appointed Cynthia Gellibert, Secretary General of Public Administration, as interim vice president on Saturday, replacing elected Vice President Veronica Abad
U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth emphasized Japan’s critical role in deterring Chinese aggression during a meeting with Japanese Defence Minister Gen Nakatani in Tokyo on Sunday
U.S. Vice President JD Vance on Friday accused Denmark of failing to adequately protect Greenland and suggested the U.S. would be better suited to secure the semi-autonomous Danish territory. His remarks come as President Donald Trump continues to advocate for a U.S. takeover of Greenland.
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