Oil prices slip as OPEC+ weighs output hike and supply risks grow
Oil prices fell for the first time in three weeks, with expectations mounting that OPEC+ will raise production in July, Bloomberg reported.
Oil prices rose on Tuesday, with analysts saying that uncertainty would keep prices elevated, even as there were no concrete signs of any production losses stemming from the Iran-Israel conflict.
Brent crude futures climbed 82 cents, or 1.1%, to $74.05 a barrel as of 0840 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 77 cents, or 1.1%, at $72.54.
Both contracts rose more than 2% earlier in the trading session but also notched declines before bouncing back in volatile trading.
Iran is the third-largest producer among members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and there is widespread concern the fighting could affect exports from there. Additionally, investors are watching for signs shipments through the Straits of Hormuz, through which flows about 19 million barrels per day of oil and oil products, may be impacted.
"The market is largely worried about disruption through Hormuz but the risk of that is very low, said Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen.
There is no appetite around closing it since Iran would lose revenue and the U.S. wants lower oil prices and wants to lower inflation, he added.
There have been no signs of supply losses but ships moving in the vicinity of the Strait and the Gulf have been affected by electronic warfare measures that have interfered with navigation systems.
Early on Tuesday, shipping sources said a vessel collided with two other ships sailing near the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting the risks to companies moving oil and fuel supplies in the region.
Despite the potential for disruptions, there are signs oil supplies remain ample amid expectations for lower demand.
In its monthly oil report released on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency revised lower its world oil demand estimate by 20,000 bpd from last month's forecast, while increasing the supply estimate by 200,000 bpd from last month's estimate to 1.8 million bpd.
Investors are also focusing on central banks' interest rate decisions, Tamas Varga, analyst at PVM Associates said in a note, with the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee, which guides the Federal Reserves rate movements, set to meet later on Tuesday.
Pakistan will begin its first freight train service to Russia from Lahore on June 22. The route is part of the INSTC and aims to connect Pakistan's rail network with Central Asia, establishing a new trade corridor via Iran, Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan.
Peace is no longer a dream. It is a discussion. On the streets of Baku and Yerevan, it is also a question, of trust, of foreign interests, and of who truly wants it.
Israeli strikes have reportedly targeted areas near the residences of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian, according to the New York Times, citing local witnesses.
Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) has cancelled certain flights scheduled for 13th and 14th June amid recent escalation of situation in the Middle East and the closure of airspace in several countries for security reasons.
The Israeli military has issued an evacuation advisory for Iranian civilians living near weapons production sites and associated infrastructure within Iran. The message was shared on the social media platform X in both Arabic and Farsi by an official military spokesperson.
Global oil demand will continue rising until around 2030, even as China’s consumption peaks in 2027, driven by low U.S. gasoline prices and slower EV adoption, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.
Central banks around the world expect their gold holdings as a proportion of their reserves to increase over the next five years while expecting their dollar reserves to be lower, a survey by the World Gold Council (WGC) showed.
Donald Trump's media company has filed for a Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF), prompting fresh concerns over potential conflicts of interest as the U.S. President remains active in both politics and cryptocurrency ventures.
Dozens of public companies, including one founded by Donald Trump, are adding bitcoin to their balance sheets, betting big on crypto amid soaring prices and political backing from the U.S. President.
Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) has warned that its profits will take a hit due to new U.S. tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, after the company paused shipments to the American market in response to new 25% import tax hikes.
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