Major currencies remained jittery on Friday as markets considered the impact of a politically turbulent week that saw the collapse of France's government and the brief imposition of martial law in South Korea.
Major currencies remained jittery on Friday as markets considered the impact of a politically turbulent week that saw the collapse of France's government and the brief imposition of martial law in South Korea.
The U.S. dollar spiked against South Korea's won KRW= after local media reported that South Korea's main opposition Democratic Party said lawmakers were on standby after receiving reports of another martial law declaration.
The won was last down 0.43% at 1419.32.
South Korea's President Yoon Suk Yeol shocked the nation and his own ruling People Power Party on Tuesday when he imposed martial law and then rescinded it hours later, spreading turmoil in global financial markets.
The political upheaval has kept Korean markets on edge even as authorities pledged to provide 'unlimited liquidity' to stabilise conditions.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin BTC= took a breather after catapulting above $100,000 for the first time a day earlier, and even sceptics now expect a crypto-friendly Trump administration to feed an extended rally.
On the broader economic front, the spotlight will be on the U.S. non-farm payrolls report for November due later in the day as investors look to second guess the pace of future Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Payrolls are expected to have increased by 200,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey, after rising by only 12,000 in October, the lowest number since December 2020.
"The Fed will be wary of placing too much weight on the expected steep rebound in payrolls in November," said Sean Callow, senior FX analyst at InTouch Capital Markets.
"So long as the unemployment rate doesn't fall back to 4.0%, markets should be comfortable about leaning towards a rate cut this month, which should keep a lid on dollar rallies."
Markets currently see about a 72% chance that the Federal Reserve will deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut when it meets on Dec. 17-18, up from 66.5% a week ago, CME FedWatch tool showed.
The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against six rivals, rose 0.10% to 105.82 after slipping towards a three-week low in the previous session.
The euro EUR=EBS slid 0.14% to $1.0574 after bouncing on Thursday as French bonds stabilised, pulling further away from a two-year low of $1.03315 hit at the end of November.
French President Emmanuel Macron met allies and parliament leaders on Thursday as he sought to swiftly appoint a new prime minister to replace Michel Barnier, who officially resigned a day after opposition lawmakers voted to oust his government.
For now, the European Central Bank isn't expected to react to heightened political turmoil in Europe when it meets next week.
All but two of 75 economists polled by Reuters believe the ECB will trim 25 basis points from its deposit rate on Dec. 12.
Traders are also all but certain about a rate cute next week.
The euro bloc currency was on track to post a loss this week, the fourth in the last five weeks.
BOJ RATE OUTLOOK IN FOCUS
Traders are pondering the likelihood of a rate hike at the Bank of Japan's meeting on Dec. 18-19 after media reports published on Wednesday suggested the BOJ may stand pat this month, muddling market expectations.
But comments from typically dovish policymaker Toyoaki Nakamura that he's not opposed to rate hikes helped push the currency higher on Thursday.
The dollar was down 0.06% against the yen at 149.98. Government data showed Japanese household spending dropped 1.3% in October from a year earlier, coming in better than expected.
Sterling GBP=D3 traded at $1.2746, down 0.11% on the day.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin BTC= hovered lower as traders locked in profit after Thursday's break above the $100,000 milestone.
The world's best known cryptocurrency has been on a tear since November on bets that Donald Trump's U.S. presidential election win will usher in a friendly regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies.
Trump on Thursday said he was appointing former PayPal PYPL.O Chief Operating Officer David Sacks as his artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency czar.
Bitcoin briefly slid to a one-week low and was last down 1.11% at $97,911, well off its all-time-high of $103,649 hit the previous day.
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South Korea’s Samsung Electronics is facing its largest potential labour action in years, with tens of thousands of workers preparing for a prolonged strike over bonuses and profit-sharing at a time when the company is benefiting from a global artificial intelligence (AI) driven chip boom.
Stocks around the world climbed to fresh record highs on Wednesday (6 May), while oil prices fell sharply, after reports suggested the United States and Iran were nearing an agreement to end conflict.
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The U.S. has launched fresh strikes on Iran after Tehran targeted a container ship and said it had again closed the Strait of Hormuz. Iran also claimed to have expanded attacks on U.S. military facilities across the Gulf.
Iran's Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has promised to avenge the killing of his father, while U.S. President Donald Trump said Tehran and Washington had agreed to continue talks despite an escalation of hostilities this week.
Typhoon Bavi, the strongest storm to hit the eastern coast of mainland China this year, brought heavy rain, strong winds, flooding and landslides after making landfall in Zhejiang province on Sunday. More than 2.8 million people were evacuated to safety ahead of the storm.
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European carmakers have urged the European Union to make sure new “Made in EU” rules do not put existing investments in Türkiye and Morocco at risk.
Microsoft is expected to announce a new round of job cuts as early as next week as the technology giant looks to reduce costs, according to reports.
A Swedish court has ordered Alphabet-owned Google to pay about $1.5 billion in antitrust damages to price comparison platform PriceRunner, in one of Europe's largest competition-related awards against a major technology company.
U.S. President Donald Trump earned more than $1bn from cryptocurrency-related business ventures last year, according to his mandatory 2025 financial disclosure.
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