So what will happen next in France? President Emmanuel Macron faces crucial negotiations to form a new government, with two possible scenarios, and another third less likely to happen.
France could see several governments fall until the next National Assembly elections, which cannot be scheduled before July 2025 at the earliest. Before then, French President Emmanuel Macron has three scenarios ahead of him.
First, he might attempt to secure a majority by appealing to both conservative and centre-left MPs, possibly appointing a prime minister from those groups.
However, moderate left-wing MPs are unlikely to support him, preferring to stick with the New Popular Front alliance, which consists of left-wing parties aiming for progressive reforms.
The second scenario sees the New Popular Front, which holds the largest number of MPs, attempting to form a government. However, they lack an outright majority and would need to negotiate with centrist MPs, creating instability and uncertainty.
A third, less likely scenario would involve Macron re-appointing Michele Barnier, asking him to modify the budget to avoid another no-confidence vote.
Regardless of the outcome, political instability is expected to persist, with the possibility of multiple governments before the next National Assembly elections in July.
What ever happens, the next government will face significant pressure to reduce France's budget deficit. Currently it's above 5%—well over the EU's 3% target.
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President Trump confirmed he is serious about a potential third term, despite constitutional limits, saying it is “far too early” to decide. While U.S. presidents are restricted to two terms, Trump allies are exploring ways to challenge this rule ahead of the 2028 election.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen was banned from running for public office for five years after being convicted of embezzlement, ruling her out of the 2027 presidential race. She received a four-year prison sentence, with two years suspended, and a €100,000 fine. Le Pen plans to appeal.
Three of the four U.S. Army soldiers who went missing in Lithuania last week when their vehicle sunk in a peat bog have been found dead. Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda expressed deep sorrow and stated that the search for the remaining soldier is ongoing.
President Trump confirmed he is serious about a potential third term, despite constitutional limits, saying it is “far too early” to decide. While U.S. presidents are restricted to two terms, Trump allies are exploring ways to challenge this rule ahead of the 2028 election.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen was banned from running for public office for five years after being convicted of embezzlement, ruling her out of the 2027 presidential race. She received a four-year prison sentence, with two years suspended, and a €100,000 fine. Le Pen plans to appeal.
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