U.S. midterms: Trump approval rating hits record low as Democrats widen lead

U.S. midterms: Trump approval rating hits record low as Democrats widen lead
U.S. President Donald Trump at a rally at Butler High School, Vandalia, Ohio, U.S., 3 October 2026.
Reuters

U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval rating has fallen to its lowest level across both of his presidential terms, while Democrats have widened their lead over Republicans ahead of the 3 November congressional elections, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.

 

The poll, which closed on Monday, found that 31 per cent of Americans approved of Trump’s performance in office, down one percentage point from two weeks earlier.

Democrats widen lead in congressional race

Among registered voters, 47 per cent said they would vote for Democrats if congressional elections were held today, compared with 35 per cent who favoured Republicans. The 12-point gap is the widest recorded during the current election cycle, up from a seven-point Democratic lead in the previous poll.

The results could strengthen Democratic hopes of winning control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Losing either chamber would make it harder for Republicans to advance Trump’s agenda during the final two years of his term.

Women were particularly likely to back Democratic candidates, with 50 per cent saying they would vote for Democrats and 32 per cent supporting Republicans. Men also favoured Democrats, though by a narrower margin.

National polls on party preference give an overview of voter sentiment but do not fully reflect the state-by-state and district-level contests that decide control of Congress, where Republicans retain some structural advantages.

Iran war and fuel prices weigh on Trump

Trump’s approval rating has come under pressure since he ordered military strikes on Iran alongside Israel in February. The war triggered a surge in fuel prices, adding to the strain on household finances.

The poll found that 68 per cent of Americans disapproved of Trump’s handling of the economy, including 37 per cent of Republicans.

Asked which party would better manage the economy, 40 per cent chose Democrats and 33 per cent chose Republicans.

About the poll

The online survey gathered responses from 1,679 U.S. adults, including 1,279 registered voters. The margin of error was two percentage points for all respondents and three percentage points for registered voters.

Midterm elections are important in the United States because they give voters a chance to influence the direction of government between presidential elections. They determine control of the U.S. Congress and many state and local offices, affecting laws, budgets, and public policy. they also serve as a way for the public to express approval or dissatisfaction with current leaders and priorities.

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