Global oil demand will continue rising until around 2030, even as China’s consumption peaks in 2027, driven by low U.S. gasoline prices and slower EV adoption, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.
The IEA, which advises industrialised countries on energy policy, maintained its forecast that global oil demand will peak this decade - a view in sharp contrast with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which sees no imminent peak.
According to the Paris-based agency’s annual report, oil demand will climb to 105.6 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2029 and decline slightly by 2030. Meanwhile, global production capacity is expected to rise by more than 5 million bpd to 114.7 million bpd by 2030.
Tensions in the Middle East, including the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, have underscored risks to supply security and recently pushed prices above $74 a barrel. However, the IEA said fundamentals point to well-supplied markets through the end of the decade, provided there are no major disruptions.
“Based on the fundamentals, oil markets look set to be well-supplied in the years ahead,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said. “But recent events sharply highlight the significant geopolitical risks to oil supply security.”
China’s economic headwinds and rapid transition to electric vehicles (EVs) are set to push its oil consumption to peak in 2027, with growth slowing thereafter. The IEA noted that by 2030, China’s oil use will be only marginally higher than in 2024, a significant revision from earlier projections that had expected an increase of around 1 million bpd.
In contrast, U.S. demand is set to be more resilient, with low gasoline prices and a slower-than-expected shift to EVs lifting the IEA’s 2030 U.S. oil demand forecast by 1.1 million bpd compared with last year’s outlook.
Since returning to office, President Donald Trump has called on OPEC to lower oil prices and rolled back pro-EV policies, including moves to block California’s stricter EV sales mandates.
Media accreditation has opened for the 13th session of the World Urban Forum, the United Nations’ flagship conference on sustainable urban developme...
The European Union faced calls to implement a never-before-used range of economic countermeasures known as the 'Anti-Coercion Instrument' as part of ...
President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev visited the Alley of Martyrs to honour the memory of those killed on 20 January....
Six people have been killed after a massive fire tore through a shopping centre in Pakistan’s largest city, Karachi, authorities said, as firefighte...
The world is entering a more unstable and fragmented phase as global cooperation declines and rivalry between major powers intensifies, the World Econ...
Fears of the end of the West, to paraphrase Mark Twain, may be premature. But they might not be premature for long.
The European Union faced calls to implement a never-before-used range of economic countermeasures known as the 'Anti-Coercion Instrument' as part of the bloc's response U.S. President Donald Trump’s plans to impose tariffs on European countries in connection with Greenland.
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has signed a decree recognising Kurdish language rights, as government forces advanced against U.S.-backed Kurdish-led fighters despite U.S. calls for restraint.
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said on Saturday (17 January) that concerns over security in Greenland should be addressed within the framework of NATO, describing a ground military intervention as highly unlikely.
The Turkish Defence Ministry has voiced its support for recent military operations by Syrian government forces against the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which enjoy the support of the United States.
Tens of thousands of users were left unable to access Elon Musk’s social media platform X on Friday, with outages reported across multiple countries including the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada and Australia.
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said on Saturday (17 January) that concerns over security in Greenland should be addressed within the framework of NATO, describing a ground military intervention as highly unlikely.
Ashley St. Clair, mother of one of Elon Musk’s children, has filed a lawsuit against Musk’s company xAI, alleging that its AI tool Grok generated explicit images of her, including one portraying her as underage.
Egypt and Sudan have welcomed an offer by U.S. President Donald Trump to restart mediation with Ethiopia in a bid to resolve the long-running dispute over Nile River water sharing.
Elon Musk is seeking up to $134 billion from OpenAI and Microsoft, arguing that the companies profited unfairly from his early support of the artificial intelligence firm, according to a court filing made public on Friday.
The UK economy grew more strongly than expected in November, according to official figures, offering signs of resilience after months of weak performance.
China recorded the world’s largest-ever trade surplus in 2025, reaching $1.2 trillion as exporters shifted focus away from the U.S. amid ongoing trade tensions.
A coalition of women’s rights organisations, technology watchdogs and progressive campaigners is urging Apple and Google, owned by Alphabet, to remove the social media platform X and its associated chatbot, Grok, from their app stores.
Boeing booked more aircraft orders than Airbus in 2025 for the first time since 2018, official figures showed, even as the European manufacturer delivered more planes during the year.
You can download the AnewZ application from Play Store and the App Store.
What is your opinion on this topic?
Leave the first comment