Azerbaijan's Economy 35 Years After Independence Restoration

Azerbaijan's Economy 35 Years After Independence Restoration
Baku’s Flame Towers rise above the historic architecture of Azerbaijan’s capital. 18 October 2026. Royal Society for Asian Affairs.
Royal Society for Asian Affairs

Thirty-five years after restoring independence, Azerbaijan's economy has more than tripled in real terms. Official data reveal how investment, manufacturing, private enterprise and digital development have reshaped the country's economic landscape.

Azerbaijan's First Vice-President Mehriban Aliyeva marked Independence Restoration Day on Sunday, 18 October, with a message celebrating the country's independence and sovereignty.

“May Azerbaijan's state independence, sovereignty, and peace and security in our country last forever,” Aliyeva wrote in a message shared on her official Instagram account.

The anniversary marks 35 years since Azerbaijan restored its state independence on 18 October 1991.

Beyond the national milestone, historical figures from the State Statistical Committee offer a picture of how the country's economy has evolved over more than three decades.

From the economic difficulties of the early 1990s to the expansion of manufacturing, private enterprise and digital services, the data reveal significant changes in Azerbaijan's economic structure.

Azerbaijan's GDP: How much has the economy grown since 1991?

Azerbaijan's economy experienced a sharp contraction in the early years following the restoration of independence.

By 1995, the country's inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) had fallen to just 42.1 per cent of its 1991 level, according to the State Statistical Committee.

Economic activity subsequently recovered, supported by investment and the development of the country's energy resources.

By 2025, Azerbaijan's real GDP index had reached 306.9, with 1991 set at 100, meaning the economy was approximately 3.1 times larger than at the beginning of the period.

Economic output per person also increased significantly. Real GDP per capita reached an index of 214.1 in 2025, more than double its 1991 level.

How has investment in Azerbaijan changed?

Investment patterns offer another measure of Azerbaijan's economic transformation.

In 2015, sectors outside oil and gas attracted AZN 8.82 billion (approximately $5.19 billion at the reference exchange rate) in fixed-capital investment, accounting for 55.3 per cent of the national total.

A decade later, that figure reached AZN 16.36 billion (approximately $9.62 billion), representing 75.2 per cent of total investment.

Meanwhile, investment in oil and gas stood at AZN 5.38 billion (approximately $3.16 billion) in 2025, compared with AZN 7.14 billion (approximately $4.20 billion at the reference exchange rate) in 2015.

Overall fixed-capital investment increased from AZN 15.96 billion (approximately $9.39 billion at the reference exchange rate) to AZN 21.74 billion (approximately $12.79 billion) over the same period.

The monetary figures are measured at current prices, while the dollar equivalents use a common reference rate of AZN 1.70 per US dollar rather than historical exchange rates.

The figures show that sectors outside oil and gas accounted for a substantially larger share of Azerbaijan's fixed-capital investment in 2025 than a decade earlier.

Azerbaijan's manufacturing sector: A decade of growth

Manufacturing has emerged as an important area of economic expansion.

Between 2015 and 2025, real value added in Azerbaijan's manufacturing sector increased by approximately 85.6 per cent, according to the State Statistical Committee's national accounts data.

A separate measure of industrial production shows that manufacturing output grew by 7.9 per cent in real terms in 2025 alone.

The sector also increased its share of the country's total industrial output, from 29.9 per cent in 2015 to 34.4 per cent in 2025.

Food manufacturing recorded real industrial output growth of 8.8 per cent in 2025, while chemical manufacturing expanded by 4.1 per cent.

However, investment in manufacturing declined during the year.

Fixed-capital investment in the sector fell from AZN 1.41 billion (approximately $829 million) in 2024 to AZN 662.7 million (approximately $390 million) in 2025.

The figures highlight the contrast between growing industrial production and lower investment in manufacturing during the latest year.

Azerbaijan's digital economy: How fast is the ICT sector expanding?

Digital development is another part of Azerbaijan's changing economic landscape.

The real value added generated by the broad information and communication sector increased by approximately 154.8 per cent between 2015 and 2025, outpacing the growth recorded in manufacturing over the same period.

Separately, the narrower information and communication technology (ICT) sector produced goods and services worth AZN 3.86 billion (approximately $2.27 billion) in 2025, compared with AZN 2.25 billion (approximately $1.32 billion at the reference exchange rate) in 2021.

These monetary output figures are measured at current prices and are distinct from the inflation-adjusted value-added figures for the broader information and communication sector.

The figures show substantial long-term growth in information and communication activities, while the narrower ICT sector accounted for 2.0 per cent of GDP in 2025.

What does Azerbaijan export today?

International trade provides another perspective on Azerbaijan's economic development.

Total merchandise exports reached approximately $25.04 billion in 2025, according to the State Statistical Committee.

Mineral fuels, lubricants and related products accounted for 85.9 per cent of that total, compared with 94.2 per cent in 2010.

Exports outside those categories reached approximately $3.53 billion in 2025, up from $3.19 billion in 2024.

The figures show that mineral fuels and related products remain Azerbaijan's principal merchandise exports, while other categories of goods account for a larger share of export earnings than in 2010.

The statistics cover trade in goods and do not include exports of services.

How has Azerbaijan's private sector changed since independence?

One of the most significant changes in Azerbaijan's economy has been the expanding role of private enterprise.

In 1995, the private sector accounted for 30.3 per cent of the country's gross domestic product, according to the State Statistical Committee.

By 2025, its share had reached 80.5 per cent.

That represents an increase of 50.2 percentage points over three decades.

In 1995, private enterprise accounted for less than one-third of Azerbaijan's GDP. Three decades later, its share had reached more than four-fifths, marking one of the clearest structural changes in the country's economy since the restoration of independence.


*Note: USD equivalents are approximate and calculated uniformly at AZN 1.70 per US dollar, including for historical figures. They are reference-rate conversions, not historical exchange-rate valuations. Monetary investment and output figures are at current prices unless otherwise stated. Figures for 2025 may be subject to revision.

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