BofA: Türkiye’s inflation impact remains limited

Bank of America (BofA) said the recent volatility in Turkish markets has so far had only a limited inflationary impact, stressing that Türkiye’s economic management remains in control.

In a client note titled “Uncertainty Likely to Ease”, the U.S. investment bank provided an assessment of the Turkish economy.

The report acknowledged that political uncertainty caused fluctuations in Turkish markets last week, but added that this uncertainty is expected to ease and the inflationary effect has so far remained limited.

It noted that domestic demand for foreign currency remains low and is largely driven by companies with existing foreign exchange liabilities.

“The economic administration in Türkiye is still in place and is keeping the situation under control,” the report stated.

“Policymakers we met during our visit to Türkiye expressed strong determination to restore stability and continue the disinflation programme. Despite recent developments, political support for the programme remains in place. Our impression is that they have a clear roadmap and have already taken steps to stabilise the markets.”

The BofA report concluded: “If political uncertainty dissipates as we expect, the inflationary impact of the shock will be limited.”

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