Wall Street closed mostly flat on Thursday as investors weighed renewed trade dialogue between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping against a batch of disappointing economic data, just ahead of a closely watched U.S. jobs report due Friday.
Wall Street edged higher on Thursday as investors weighed renewed trade discussions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping against a slate of disappointing U.S. economic data ahead of Friday’s pivotal jobs report.
In a volatile session, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed slightly lower, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended marginally in positive territory. U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated throughout the day, and gold prices softened.
President Trump and President Xi held a phone call on Thursday aimed at easing ongoing trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Both sides confirmed that they agreed to continue discussions—a development that helped calm markets.
“The market seems to be accepting that if they’re talking, they’re not going to do anything drastic,” said Thomas Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. “People are just sort of guessing which way the wind is blowing—and it keeps shifting. Investors want to own stocks and fear missing out, but they’re also wary of a potential disaster.”
Economic Data Raises Questions Ahead of Jobs Report
Fresh U.S. economic data painted a mixed picture. Initial jobless claims rose to their highest level since October, and the trade deficit narrowed sharply in April due to a 16.3% drop in imports—largely attributed to the impact of U.S. tariffs.
Meanwhile, labor market indicators showed signs of weakness. Challenger layoffs surged 47% year-over-year, and private payrolls from ADP came in well below expectations. These figures have tempered optimism ahead of the Labor Department’s May employment report, due Friday.
Some analysts, however, see a silver lining in the softer data.
“The recent benign inflation figures and rising jobless claims could give the Federal Reserve room to implement more than one rate cut this year,” said Matthew Keator, Managing Partner at the Keator Group in Lenox, Massachusetts. “That could be encouraging for certain sectors.”
Market Recap
Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 62.89 points, or 0.15%, to 42,491.60
S&P 500 fell 3.56 points, or 0.06%, to 5,967.38
Nasdaq Composite declined 40.84 points, or 0.22%, to 19,419.88
ECB Cuts Rates, Hints at Possible Pause
In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) lowered its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, citing a more stable inflation outlook. While the decision was widely expected, ECB President Christine Lagarde suggested the bank may pause its rate-cutting cycle during the summer.
European stocks initially gained following the announcement but pared back those gains by the close.
Pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.16%
FTSEurofirst 300 added 0.19%
MSCI’s global stock index ticked up 0.02% to 889.10
Global Markets Mixed
Emerging markets and Asia-Pacific shares saw modest gains, while Japan’s Nikkei declined.
MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 0.84% to 1,182.31
Asia-Pacific Index (excluding Japan) climbed 0.82% to 622.95
Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.51% to 37,554.49
Currency and Bond Markets
The dollar reversed earlier gains after weaker U.S. data and the ECB’s dovish tone.
Dollar Index inched up 0.02% to 98.81
Euro gained 0.14% to $1.1433
Dollar/Yen rose 0.67% to 143.73
U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated, reflecting market uncertainty ahead of Friday’s labor market data:
10-year yield rose to 4.395%
30-year yield edged down to 4.8856%
2-year yield climbed to 3.928%, indicating shifting expectations for Fed policy
Oil and Gold
Crude prices rose despite bearish inventory data and Saudi Arabia’s price cuts for Asia, as the Trump-Xi call raised hopes for improved trade ties.
U.S. crude settled up 0.83% at $63.37 per barrel
Brent crude rose 0.74% to $65.34 per barrel
Gold reversed earlier gains as easing trade tensions reduced demand for safe-haven assets:
Spot gold fell 0.65% to $3,353.64 an ounce
U.S. gold futures declined 0.72% to $3,349.20 an ounce
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Slovenia heads to the polls on Sunday (22 March) in a closely contested race between incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob and right-wing former Prime Minister Janez Janša.
Iceland could reopen talks on joining the European Union after a 13-year pause, as shifting security concerns and renewed economic debate bring EU membership back to the centre of national politics.
Italy will vote on 22 and 23 March in a judicial reform referendum that could reshape the justice system and test Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s political strength ahead of the 2027 general election.
Start your day informed with the AnewZ Morning Brief. Here are the top stories for 21 March, covering the latest developments you need to know.
Israel reportedly launched a fresh wave of attacks on Iran on Friday (20 March), a day after U.S. President Donald Trump told it not to repeat its strikes on Iranian natural gas infrastructure, which sharply escalated the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.
Carlos Ray “Chuck” Norris, the martial artist, actor and cultural icon best known for his roles in action films and the long-running CBS series Walker, Texas Ranger, has died at the age of 86.
Transport groups across the Philippines launched a nationwide strike on Thursday in protest against rising oil prices. The action affected 15 to 20 protest centres in Metro Manila, with similar demonstrations taking place across several major provinces.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has refused to lift his opposition to a €90 billion ($104 billion) European Union loan to help Ukraine keep up its fight against Russia’s invasion, following a meeting of EU leaders in Brussels on Thursday (19 March).
As Afghans celebrate Eid, there is at least some relief, with Afghanistan and Pakistan pausing military operations following mediation by Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Türkiye after weeks of tension.
The French government’s bid to suspend the marketplace of Chinese online retailer Shein in the country has been overruled by a Paris Court of Appeal.
The prevailing security situation in the region has done little to deter entrepreneurs from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) who continue to view Dubai as a premier and safe location for business.
China has raised the retail prices of petrol and diesel after global oil prices climbed sharply. The country’s top economic planning body, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), announced the move after reviewing international oil market trends.
Global financial markets remained on edge on Friday as the escalating war involving the United States, Israel and Iran continued to rattle investors, fuelling volatility in stocks and sending energy prices sharply higher.
China’s top leadership has unveiled a new push to turn advanced technologies into large-scale industrial priorities as part of the country’s upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan, which will guide economic and social development from 2026 to 2030.
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