Iran declares “decisive victory” and signals new phase in Strait of Hormuz control
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Seyed Mojtaba Khamenei has declared a “decisive victory” over the U.S. and Israel, signalling a &...
Wall Street closed mostly flat on Thursday as investors weighed renewed trade dialogue between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping against a batch of disappointing economic data, just ahead of a closely watched U.S. jobs report due Friday.
Wall Street edged higher on Thursday as investors weighed renewed trade discussions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping against a slate of disappointing U.S. economic data ahead of Friday’s pivotal jobs report.
In a volatile session, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed slightly lower, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended marginally in positive territory. U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated throughout the day, and gold prices softened.
President Trump and President Xi held a phone call on Thursday aimed at easing ongoing trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Both sides confirmed that they agreed to continue discussions—a development that helped calm markets.
“The market seems to be accepting that if they’re talking, they’re not going to do anything drastic,” said Thomas Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. “People are just sort of guessing which way the wind is blowing—and it keeps shifting. Investors want to own stocks and fear missing out, but they’re also wary of a potential disaster.”
Economic Data Raises Questions Ahead of Jobs Report
Fresh U.S. economic data painted a mixed picture. Initial jobless claims rose to their highest level since October, and the trade deficit narrowed sharply in April due to a 16.3% drop in imports—largely attributed to the impact of U.S. tariffs.
Meanwhile, labor market indicators showed signs of weakness. Challenger layoffs surged 47% year-over-year, and private payrolls from ADP came in well below expectations. These figures have tempered optimism ahead of the Labor Department’s May employment report, due Friday.
Some analysts, however, see a silver lining in the softer data.
“The recent benign inflation figures and rising jobless claims could give the Federal Reserve room to implement more than one rate cut this year,” said Matthew Keator, Managing Partner at the Keator Group in Lenox, Massachusetts. “That could be encouraging for certain sectors.”
Market Recap
Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 62.89 points, or 0.15%, to 42,491.60
S&P 500 fell 3.56 points, or 0.06%, to 5,967.38
Nasdaq Composite declined 40.84 points, or 0.22%, to 19,419.88
ECB Cuts Rates, Hints at Possible Pause
In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) lowered its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, citing a more stable inflation outlook. While the decision was widely expected, ECB President Christine Lagarde suggested the bank may pause its rate-cutting cycle during the summer.
European stocks initially gained following the announcement but pared back those gains by the close.
Pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.16%
FTSEurofirst 300 added 0.19%
MSCI’s global stock index ticked up 0.02% to 889.10
Global Markets Mixed
Emerging markets and Asia-Pacific shares saw modest gains, while Japan’s Nikkei declined.
MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 0.84% to 1,182.31
Asia-Pacific Index (excluding Japan) climbed 0.82% to 622.95
Japan’s Nikkei fell 0.51% to 37,554.49
Currency and Bond Markets
The dollar reversed earlier gains after weaker U.S. data and the ECB’s dovish tone.
Dollar Index inched up 0.02% to 98.81
Euro gained 0.14% to $1.1433
Dollar/Yen rose 0.67% to 143.73
U.S. Treasury yields fluctuated, reflecting market uncertainty ahead of Friday’s labor market data:
10-year yield rose to 4.395%
30-year yield edged down to 4.8856%
2-year yield climbed to 3.928%, indicating shifting expectations for Fed policy
Oil and Gold
Crude prices rose despite bearish inventory data and Saudi Arabia’s price cuts for Asia, as the Trump-Xi call raised hopes for improved trade ties.
U.S. crude settled up 0.83% at $63.37 per barrel
Brent crude rose 0.74% to $65.34 per barrel
Gold reversed earlier gains as easing trade tensions reduced demand for safe-haven assets:
Spot gold fell 0.65% to $3,353.64 an ounce
U.S. gold futures declined 0.72% to $3,349.20 an ounce
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says he has given an instruction for Israel to begin peace talks with Lebanon that would also include the disarming of Hezbollah.
Some geographies are small on the map yet immense in history. The Strait of Hormuz is one. About a quarter of global oil trade and a fifth of LNG flows pass through this narrow corridor - around 20 million barrels per day sustaining the global system.
Afghanistan and Pakistan have agreed to continue dialogue and avoid steps that could worsen tensions after China-hosted talks in Urumqi, with Kabul and Beijing saying the meetings focused on easing differences and improving relations.
Memorial events were held in Tehran’s main squares on Wednesday (8 April) to mark the 40th day since the killing of former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who died during U.S.-Israeli attacks on 28 February.
Pakistan‑brokered talks between the U.S., Israel and Iran get underway today as disagreements continue over the two‑week ceasefire, including Israel‑Hezbollah conflict and Iran’s handling of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz after President Donald Trump warned the terms were being misapplied.
A French fashion label is placing China at the heart of its global ambitions, choosing Shanghai for its worldwide debut in a move that shows growing confidence in the country’s consumer market and cultural influence.
Walt Disney is planning to cut up to 1,000 jobs in the coming weeks, with many of the reductions expected to affect its marketing division, The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday, citing sources familiar with the plans.
Major automakers showcased new electric vehicles at the New York Auto Show this week, under the slogan “electrification is the future." However, weakening demand in the United States and intense competition with China are raising questions for markets across the globe, including the South Caucasus.
The U.S. national average retail price of petrol rose above $4 a gallon for the first time in over three years on Monday (30 March), according to GasBuddy data, as the U.S.–Israeli war with Iran continued to roil global energy markets.
Japan and Indonesia will deepen coordination on energy security, Tokyo said, as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran disrupts vital oil and gas flows to Asia.
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