The S&P 500 barely budged Wednesday as weak job and service sector data revealed the economic fallout from President Trump’s trade war tactics.
The benchmark S&P 500 index closed nearly flat on Wednesday (June 4), rising just 0.01%, as investors weighed tech stock gains against troubling economic signals tied to President Donald Trump’s erratic trade policies.
While tech shares kept the market afloat, enthusiasm quickly waned after data showed the U.S. services sector contracted in May for the first time in nearly a year. On top of that, input prices for businesses rose—a worrying sign that the U.S. is facing both slowing growth and persistent inflation.
Labor market data also disappointed. According to the ADP National Employment Report, private employers added the fewest jobs in more than two years last month. All eyes are now on Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report for a clearer picture of how trade volatility is rattling U.S. hiring.
Washington has now doubled tariffs on imported steel and aluminum to 50%, and June 4 marked Trump’s deadline for global trading partners to present revised deals—before more punishing levies kick in this July.
Investors are anxiously watching for signs of breakthrough in trade talks, particularly a possible call between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. The world’s two largest economies remain locked in a high-stakes standoff.
Despite the uncertainty, May still delivered the strongest monthly gains for both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq since November 2023, thanks to a temporary easing in trade rhetoric and strong corporate earnings.
Still, the S&P 500 remains over 2% below its all-time high set in February.
Barclays became the latest major brokerage to raise its year-end forecast for the S&P 500, citing hopes that trade disruptions will ease and earnings growth will normalize by 2026. That’s a long-term bet—short-term pain remains the more immediate reality.
Here’s how the numbers shook out:
S&P 500: +0.44 points, or 0.01%, to close at 5,970.81
Nasdaq Composite: +61.53 points, or 0.32%, to 19,460.49
Dow Jones Industrial Average: -91.90 points, or 0.22%, to 42,427.74
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