Why Elon Musk may be the biggest loser of the Midterms
Elon Musk was not on the ballot in Tuesday’s U.S. midterm elections, but he emerged as one of the biggest losers after Democrats swept to vic...
Elon Musk stands to gain from his ties to President-elect Trump, with Tesla shares surging post-election. Trump's policies, including deregulation and tariffs on Chinese imports, could benefit Musk’s businesses, including Tesla and SpaceX.
Billionaire Elon Musk stands to gain significantly from his relationship with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, having been one of Trump’s key supporters during the 2024 campaign.
After Trump’s victory over Vice President Kamala Harris, Tesla shares soared nearly 15%, adding around $120 billion to the company’s market value. Musk contributed millions to Trump’s campaign, and Trump has proposed a government efficiency commission led by Musk to reduce federal spending.
Musk's influence is expected to grow further, given his substantial role as a U.S. Department of Defense contractor through his Starlink broadband system and as Tesla's CEO.
Musk has benefited from policies that Trump opposed, such as the solar and electric vehicle (EV) credits in the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act. Trump’s push to reduce EV mandates could potentially benefit Tesla more than its competitors due to the company’s high sales volume.
A group representing the EV industry expressed its willingness to collaborate with Trump, who has pledged to reverse many of the pro-EV policies of the Biden administration.
'HEDGED HIS BETS'
“Musk basically hedged his bets by his association with Trump and likely will get favorable treatment from the Trump administration,” said Dennis Dick, trader at Triple D Trading.
Regulatory approval for Full Self Driving will be a challenge for Tesla, but Musk is likely to secure approvals faster with Trump’s support. Shares of EV companies Lucid Group (LCID.O) and Rivian Automotive (RIVN.O) dropped 5.3% and 8.3%, respectively. Trump's promised tariffs on Chinese imports, especially on EVs, could shield Tesla from competition, analysts said. Shares of China's BYD (002594.SZ) fell 2.3% overnight.
It’s unclear how Musk will address conflicts of interest in sectors like auto, space, health, and AI, or whether he’ll leverage them under a Trump administration’s hands-off regulatory approach.
A role overseeing deregulation would give Musk influence over U.S. policy on AI, space exploration, and EVs, said Mamta Valechha, consumer analyst at Quilter Cheviot.
Musk may use his influence to reduce regulatory oversight. He’s criticized federal reviews of SpaceX and wants faster approval of his autonomous driving technology.
Musk is also a proponent of carbon-free energy, as Tesla is a major supplier of solar systems and batteries. Trump has promised to eliminate the offshore wind industry and rescind unspent funds under the Inflation Reduction Act, Biden’s climate law. However, Republican-led states have benefited from the law; Musk is building his second U.S. EV factory in Texas.
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