Gaza in 2025: How two ceasefire deals failed to end the war

The year began with cautious optimism as a ceasefire deal, brokered by Egypt and Qatar on January 15th, brought a temporary halt to the 15 months of devastating war in Gaza.

The agreement outlined clear stages: a hostage-prisoner exchange, a surge of humanitarian aid, followed by withdrawals and the eventual reconstruction of the war-torn region.

For a few weeks, it seemed as though peace might finally return. Hostages and prisoners were released, and displaced families began to return to northern Gaza, walking through the ruins of their former homes, hopeful for a fresh start.

However, that fragile peace quickly crumbled. By March, disputes over hostage lists and accusations of violations by both sides led to the resumption of brutal fighting.

Israel launched "Operation Gideon's Chariot," and the already high death toll, which Hamas health authorities had reported as exceeding 50,000, began to rise once more.

The humanitarian crisis within Gaza deteriorated rapidly as fighting resumed. By summer, UN agencies issued alarming reports of widespread child malnutrition and warnings of impending famine.

The situation on the ground became increasingly dire, as aid distribution points became sites of chaos and violence.

Hundreds were killed in the scramble for food, water, and basic necessities. The surge in violence and the ongoing blockade made it nearly impossible for aid to reach those in desperate need, further deepening the suffering of the civilian population.

Palestinians wait to receive food from a charity kitchen after the global hunger monitor, in Gaza City, 28 August, 2025
Reuters

Amidst the escalating crisis, a significant diplomatic shift took place. European nations moved to recognise Palestinian statehood at the United Nations, a move that was overwhelmingly endorsed globally but fiercely rejected by the United States and Israel.

This development signalled a major change in the international stance on the conflict, with Europe taking a more supportive position on Palestinian sovereignty, while the U.S. and Israel maintained their stance on prioritising Israeli security and opposing unilateral actions.

A second deal and renewed hope

In October, a new agreement brokered by the United States brought a brief respite. The deal facilitated the release of the last living Israeli hostages in exchange for nearly 2,000 Palestinian prisoners.

For a moment, it seemed that the momentum was shifting towards peace. However, Israel's war objectives, as articulated by Prime Minister Netanyahu in May—namely, the complete dismantling of Hamas and the establishment of lasting Israeli security control over Gaza—remained unresolved.

The military objectives and the long-term future of Gaza continued to be key points of contention.

Palestinians, who were displaced to the southern part of Gaza at Israel's order during the war in Gaza Strip, 10 October
Reuters

In November, the UN Security Council endorsed a plan that authorised the deployment of an international peacekeeping force in Gaza.

While this was hailed as a step towards stabilising the region, the ground reality remained unchanged. Israeli airstrikes continued, with the Israeli government citing violations of the ceasefire as the justification for their actions.

A bleak December and a continuing struggle for peace

As December arrived, it became clear that the deals signed on paper had not brought the peace that had been promised.

The death toll had now exceeded 70,000, and 85% of Gaza’s population remained displaced, living in the wreckage of a war-torn landscape.

The arrival of winter added further hardship, as displaced families struggled to survive in makeshift shelters amidst the ruins of their homes.

A Palestinian man waits to receive food from a charity kitchen amid a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip, 5 November
Reuters

Humanitarian aid efforts remained woefully inadequate and unable to meet the overwhelming needs of those affected by the conflict.

The continuing Israeli airstrikes, the unresolved political issues, and the mounting humanitarian disaster left little hope that a lasting peace was on the horizon.

While diplomatic efforts continued, the gap between political agreements and the lived reality on the ground remained vast. Gaza’s future remains uncertain, with peace still elusive despite a year of negotiations, ceasefires, and promises of reconstruction.

The world watches as the situation in Gaza continues to unfold, hoping for a breakthrough, but aware that the path to peace is fraught with challenges and setbacks.

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