Prospects for new peace talks between Iran and the U.S. are “dim,” with both sides operating on false assumptions, a political analyst told AnewZ.
James M. Dorsey, told AnewZ’s Daybreak programme on Tuesday (21 April) that both nations believe they have the upper hand in the conflict, which makes successful peace talks more difficult to achieve.
“The problem is that both sides believe they’re winning this war and they don’t only want to declare victory, they want to declare the defeat of the other party, which complicates any negotiation, if not makes it impossible,” he told AnewZ’s Nadia Gyane.
Dorsey added that U.S. President Donald Trump had made several strategic mistakes with regards to the conflict, including overestimating his own negotiation skills and the ability of U.S. military power to impose Washington’s will on other nations.
The U.S. and Iran ceasefire is due to expire on Wednesday (22 April), with it unclear whether peace talks in the Pakistani capital Islamabad will take place between the two countries or not.
“It’s a total misunderstanding of what is possible in Iran and what is not possible, that assumption that military force would force Iran to capitulate,” he said.
While Pakistan has said it is confident Iran will join the negotiations and JD Vance is reportedly set to visit Islamabad, Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned on X on Tuesday that Tehran will not negotiate “under the shadow of threats” from the U.S.
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Wildfires have broken out in Türkiye’s Antalya province, forcing hundreds of people to evacuate as strong winds fuelled the flames.
A TV channel was struck during a live broadcast on Tuesday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said, as Russian strikes on Kyiv killed at least three people, the city's Mayor Vitali Klitschko said. Meanwhile, drones hit civilian infrastructure in Russia's southwestern Saratov region.
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) said its forces destroyed five Iranian crude oil carriers after the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) allegedly launched two ballistic missile attacks against a U.S. Navy warship over the past two days.
Overnight Iranian strikes on an air base in Jordan damaged multiple U.S. aircraft and left one without a wing, American media reported. Meanwhile, explosions were heard across parts of southern Iran according to local media reports.
Saudi Arabia is now facing pressure from both ends of the Arabian Peninsula. While the crisis around the Strait of Hormuz is disrupting Gulf shipping and energy flows, fighting has intensified in western Yemen, bringing the Houthis back into direct confrontation with the kingdom.
Iran has warned it will retaliate against any future U.S. attacks, saying American energy interests and infrastructure across the Gulf could become targets in a further escalation of the conflict.
Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said on Sunday that the United States must recognise that the “rules of the game” in its war against Iran had changed “before it is too late”, a day after Washington struck several Iranian tankers in the Gulf.
An Iranian tanker was hit by U.S. forces on Saturday near Iran's key oil export hub, Kharg Island, in the Gulf, the semi-official Iranian news agency Tasnim reported.
U.S. efforts to squeeze Iran’s economy through an oil blockade and sanctions are becoming increasingly difficult for Tehran to withstand, according to three senior Iranian sources. Washington is escalating pressure in hopes of securing concessions in future negotiations.
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